Assessment of climate change and associated impact on selected sectors in Poland

被引：0

作者：

Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz

Mikołaj Piniewski

Abdelkader Mezghani

Tomasz Okruszko

Iwona Pińskwar

Ignacy Kardel

Øystein Hov

Mateusz Szcześniak

Małgorzata Szwed

Rasmus E. Benestad

Paweł Marcinkowski

Dariusz Graczyk

Andreas Dobler

Eirik J. Førland

Joanna O’Keefe

Adam Choryński

Kajsa M. Parding

Jan Erik Haugen

机构：

[1] Institute for Agricultural and Forest Environment of the Polish Academy of Sciences,

[2] Norwegian Meteorological Institute (Met Norway),undefined

[3] Warsaw University of Life Sciences (SGGW),undefined

[4] Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK),undefined

来源：

Acta Geophysica | 2018年 / 66卷

关键词：

Climate change; Climate change impact; Projections; Poland;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

The present paper offers a brief assessment of climate change and associated impact in Poland, based on selected results of the Polish–Norwegian CHASE-PL project. Impacts are examined in selected sectors, such as water resources, natural hazard risk reduction, environment, agriculture and health. Results of change detection in long time series of observed climate and climate impact variables in Poland are presented. Also, projections of climate variability and change are provided for time horizons of 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 for two emission scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in comparison with control period, 1971–2000. Based on climate projections, examination of future impacts on sectors is also carried out. Selected uncertainty issues relevant to observations, understanding and projections are tackled as well.

引用

页码：1509 / 1523

页数：14

共 79 条

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