Tourism and insecurity in the world

被引:0
作者
Asongu S.A. [1 ]
Uduji J.I. [2 ]
Okolo-Obasi E.N. [3 ]
机构
[1] Department of Economics, University of South Africa (UNISA), P. O. Box 392, Pretoria
[2] Department of Marketing, Faculty of Business Administration, Enugu Campus, University of Nigeria, Nsukka
[3] Institute for Development Studies, Enugu Campus, University of Nigeria, Nsukka
关键词
Insecurity; Peace; Tourism;
D O I
10.1007/s12232-019-00330-z
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
The study assesses the role of forces of law and order in modulating the insecurity-tourism nexus in 163 countries for the period 2010 to 2015. Policy syndromes or insecurity dynamics include: violent crime, access to weapons, political instability and perception of criminality, while the policy variables of forces of law and order are captured with “security officers and police” and “armed service personnel.” The empirical evidence is based on negative binomial regressions. The findings show that the policy variables can be effectively used to crowd-out the negative incidence of policy syndromes on tourist arrivals. The results are contingent on net effects (from conditional and unconditional effects), insecurity dynamics and thresholds. A threshold is an inflexion point at which the unfavorable unconditional effect from a policy syndrome of insecurity on tourist arrivals is completely neutralized by policy variables of forces of law and order. Policy implications are discussed. © 2019, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.
引用
收藏
页码:453 / 472
页数:19
相关论文
共 65 条
[1]  
Agoba A.M., Abor J., Osei K.A., Sa-Aadu J., Do independent central banks exhibit varied behaviour in election and non-election years: the case of fiscal policy in Africa, J Afr Bus, (2019)
[2]  
Alvarez M.D., Campo S., The influence of political conflicts on country image and intention to visit: a study of Israel’s image, Tour Manag, 40, pp. 70-78, (2014)
[3]  
Ashraf Q., Galor O., The out of Africa hypothesis, human genetic diversity, and comparative economic development, Am Econ Rev, 103, 1, pp. 1-46, (2013)
[4]  
Asongu S.A., Amankwah-Amoah J., Mitigating capital flight through military expenditure: insight from 37 African countries, Res Int Bus Finance, 45, pp. 38-53, (2018)
[5]  
Asongu S.A., Kodila-Tedika O., Trade, aid and terror, Int J Dev Issues, 16, 1, pp. 2-24, (2017)
[6]  
Asongu S.A., Efobi U.R., Beecroft I., Aid in modulating the impact of terrorism on FDI: no positive thresholds, no policy, Forum Soc Econ, (2018)
[7]  
Asongu S.A., Nnanna J., Biekpe N., Acha-Anyi P., Contemporary drivers of global tourism: evidence from terrorism and peace factors, J Travel Tour Mark, 36, 3, pp. 345-357, (2019)
[8]  
Asongu S.A., Nwachukwu J.C., Pyke C., The right to life: global evidence on the role of security officers and the police in modulating the effect of insecurity on homicide, Soc Indic Res, (2019)
[9]  
Batuo M.E., The role of telecommunications infrastructure in the regional economic growth of Africa, J Dev Areas, 49, 1, pp. 313-330, (2015)
[10]  
Bhattarai K., Conway D., Shrestha N., Tourism, terrorism and turmoil in Nepal, Ann Tour Res, 32, 3, pp. 669-688, (2005)