A Prediction of the Peak Sunspot Number for Solar Cycle 23

被引：0

作者：

Khaled H. Bounar

Edward W. Cliver

Valentín Boriakoff

机构：

[1] Radex,

[2] Inc.,undefined

[3] Air Force Research Laboratory,undefined

来源：

Solar Physics | 1997年 / 176卷

关键词：

Solar Cycle; Sunspot Number; Solar Minimum; Sunspot Minimum; Precursor Technique;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

We use a precursor technique based on the geomagneticaa index during the decline (last 30%) of solar cycle 22 to predict a peak sunspot number of 158 (± 18) for cycle 23, under the assumption that solar minimum occurred in May 1996. This method appears to be as reliable as those that require a year of data surrounding the geomagnetic minimum, which typically follows the smoothed sunspot minimum by about six months.

引用

页码：211 / 216

页数：5

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