How does terrorism affect the international trade of Muslims countries?

被引:0
作者
Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada
Donghyun Park
Muhammad Tahir
Alam Khan
机构
[1] University of Malaya,Social Security Research Centre (SSRC), Centre of Poverty and Development Studies (CPDS), Faculty of Economics and Administration (FEA)
[2] Principal Economist,Department of Management Sciences
[3] Asian Development Bank (ADB),Department of Economics
[4] Comsats Institute of Information Technology,undefined
[5] Kohat University of Science and Technology (KUST),undefined
来源
Quality & Quantity | 2018年 / 52卷
关键词
Terrorism; Policy modeling; Afghanistan; Iraq; Pakistan; Syria; R11; R12;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
In this paper, we propose a new model, namely the terrorism-trade and investment diversion simulator (TTID-Simulator). The simulator allows us to analyze the impact of terrorism on trade and investment diversion anywhere and anytime. Our central objective is to use the new model to evaluate the trade and investment diversion due to terrorism, and the ultimate effect on inflation rate, unemployment rate, and poverty rate. More specifically, we apply TTID-simulator to evaluate the economic effect of terrorism on Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, and Syria, four countries which suffered a lot of terrorist activity in recent years. The focus of our analysis is trade and investment diversion, and our sample period runs from 1980 to 2016.
引用
收藏
页码:2255 / 2268
页数:13
相关论文
共 26 条
  • [1] Balassa B(1967)Trade creation and trade diversion in the European common market Econ. J. 305 1-21
  • [2] Baldwin RE(1995)Regional economic integration Handb. Int. Econ. 3 1597-1644
  • [3] Venables AJ(2001)Trade creation and trade diversion in the Canada-United States free trade agreement Can. J. Econ./Revue Canadienne d’économique 34 677-696
  • [4] Clausing KA(2004)Terrorism-induced structural shifts in financial risk: airline stocks in the aftermath of the September 11th terror attacks Eur. J. Polit. Econ. 20 435-446
  • [5] Drakos K(1996)Some welfare effects of sequential customs union formation Caiialliot Jorrrrol of Ecotronics 29 941-958
  • [6] Havcman J(2004)Assessing the impact of the September 11 terrorist attacks on US airline demand J. Econ. Bus. 57 75-95
  • [7] Ito H(1998)Trade creation and trade diversion J. Transnatl. Manag. Dev. 3 47-72
  • [8] Lee D(1976)Trade creation, trade diversion and effective protection in the central American common market J. Dev. Stud. 12 396-414
  • [9] Haveman J(2016)Trade creation, trade diversion, and the general equilibrium effects of regional trade agreements: a study of the European Community–Turkey customs union Rev. World Econ. 152 383-389
  • [10] Hummels David(2011)Policy modeling: definition, classification, and evaluation J. Policy Model. 33 523-536