Dynamic efficiency in the East European emerging markets

被引:4
作者
Tsukuda Y. [1 ]
Miyakoshi T. [2 ]
Shimada J. [3 ]
机构
[1] Graduate School of Economics, Tohoku University
[2] Graduate School of International Cultural Studies, Tohoku University, Kawauchi Aoba-ku
[3] School of Management, Aoyama Gakuin University
关键词
Dynamic efficiency; East European emerging markets; K1alman filter; Time varying parameter;
D O I
10.1007/s10690-006-9017-6
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
The paper re-investigates the efficiency of the East European emerging markets of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Russia analyzed by Rockinger and Urga (2000, 2001) based on the data from September, 1995 through December, 2004. We propose a first-order autoregressive (AR (1)) type time varying parameter model with a non-stochastic linear time trend including the random walk (RW) type model as a special case. The observed data rejects the RW type model for the AR (1) type one. The markets exhibit dynamic efficiency for all the four countries in the sense that the linear time trend approaches to zero over time. The empirical result for the Russian markets differs from that of Rockinger and Urga (2000). © Springer 2006.
引用
收藏
页码:159 / 179
页数:20
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