Validation of prediction models: examining temporal and geographic stability of baseline risk and estimated covariate effects

被引：34
作者：
Peter C. Austin
David van Klaveren
Yvonne Vergouwe
Daan Nieboer
Douglas S. Lee
Ewout W. Steyerberg
机构：
[1] Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences,Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation
[2] University of Toronto,Schulich Heart Research Program
[3] Sunnybrook Research Institute,Department of Public Health
[4] Erasmus MC-University Medical Center Rotterdam,Predictive Analytics and Comparative Effectiveness Center, Institute for Clinical Research and Health Policy Studies
[5] Tufts Medical Center,Department of Medical Statistics and Bioinformatics
[6] Leiden University Medical Center,Peter Munk Cardiac Centre and Joint Department of Medical Imaging, Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine
[7] University of Toronto,undefined
来源：
Diagnostic and Prognostic Research | / 1卷 / 1期
关键词：
Clinical prediction model; Validation; Risk prediction; Hierarchical regression model; Geographic variation; Temporal variation;
D O I：
10.1186/s41512-017-0012-3
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 78 条
[1]  
Justice AC(1999)Assessing the generalizability of prognostic information Ann Intern Med 130 515-24
[2]  
Covinsky KE(2009)Prognosis and prognostic research: validating a prognostic model BMJ 338 b605-73
[3]  
Berlin JA(2000)What do we mean by validating a prognostic model? Stat Med 19 453-89
[4]  
Altman DG(2015)A new framework to enhance the interpretation of external validation studies of clinical prediction models J Clin Epidemiol 68 279-34
[5]  
Vergouwe Y(2015)External validation of new risk prediction models is infrequent and reveals worse prognostic discrimination J Clin Epidemiol 68 25-85
[6]  
Royston P(2016)Geographic and temporal validity of prediction models: different approaches were useful to examine model performance J Clin Epidemiol 79 76-7
[7]  
Moons KG(2009)Effectiveness of public report cards for improving the quality of cardiac care: the EFFECT study: a randomized trial J Am Med Assoc 302 2330-7
[8]  
Altman DG(2003)Predicting mortality among patients hospitalized for heart failure: derivation and validation of a clinical model J Am Med Assoc 290 2581-86
[9]  
Royston P(2004)Validation and updating of predictive logistic regression models: a study on sample size and shrinkage Stat Med 23 2567-7
[10]  
Debray TP(2006)A brief conceptual tutorial of multilevel analysis in social epidemiology: using measures of clustering in multilevel logistic regression to investigate contextual phenomena J Epidemiol Community Health 60 290-7
12345678