Climate change decision-support and the tolerable windows approach

被引：41

作者：

Bruckner T. ^{[1
]}

Petschel-Held G. ^{[1
]}

Tóth F.L. ^{[1
]}

Füssel H.-M. ^{[1
]}

Helm C. ^{[1
]}

Leimbach M. ^{[1
]}

Schellnhuber H.-J. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Potsdam Inst. Climate Impact Res., Telegrafenberg

来源：

Environmental Modeling & Assessment | 1999年 / 4卷 / 4期

关键词：

Climate change; Climate policy; Integrated assessment; Inverse modeling; Uncertainty;

D O I：

10.1023/A:1019076603956

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

The Tolerable Windows Approach (TWA) to Integrated Assessments (IA) of global warming is based on external normative specifications of tolerable sets of climate impacts as well as proposed emission quotas and policy instruments for implementation. In a subsequent step, the complete set of admissible climate protection strategies which are compatible with these normative inputs is determined by scientific analysis. In doing so, minimum requirements concerning global and national greenhouse gas emission paths can be determined. In this paper we present the basic methodological elements of TWA, discuss its relation to more conventional approaches to IA like cost-benefit analyses, and present some preliminary results obtained by a reduced-form climate model.

引用

页码：217 / 234

页数：17

共 62 条

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