Vulnerability of the British swine industry to classical swine fever

被引：0
作者：
Thibaud Porphyre
Carla Correia-Gomes
Margo E. Chase-Topping
Kokouvi Gamado
Harriet K. Auty
Ian Hutchinson
Aaron Reeves
George J. Gunn
Mark E. J. Woolhouse
机构：
[1] Epidemiology Research Group,
[2] Centre for Immunity,undefined
[3] Infection and Evolution,undefined
[4] University of Edinburgh,undefined
[5] Edinburgh,undefined
[6] Scotland,undefined
[7] UK ,undefined
[8] Epidemiology Research Unit,undefined
[9] Future Farming Systems,undefined
[10] Scotland’s Rural College,undefined
[11] Inverness,undefined
[12] Scotland,undefined
[13] UK ,undefined
[14] Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland,undefined
[15] Edinburgh,undefined
[16] Scotland,undefined
[17] UK ,undefined
[18] Present address: The Roslin Institute,undefined
[19] The University of Edinburgh,undefined
[20] Easter Bush Campus,undefined
[21] Edinburgh,undefined
[22] Scotland,undefined
[23] UK.,undefined
来源：
Scientific Reports | / 7卷
关键词：
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
Classical swine fever (CSF) is a notifiable, highly contagious viral disease of swine which results in severe welfare and economic consequences in affected countries. To improve preparedness, it is critical to have some understanding of how CSF would spread should it be introduced. Based on the data recorded during the 2000 epidemic of CSF in Great Britain (GB), a spatially explicit, premises-based model was developed to explore the risk of CSF spread in GB. We found that large outbreaks of CSF would be rare and generated from a limited number of areas in GB. Despite the consistently low vulnerability of the British swine industry to large CSF outbreaks, we identified concerns with respect to the role played by the non-commercial sector of the industry. The model further revealed how various epidemiological features may influence the spread of CSF in GB, highlighting the importance of between-farm biosecurity in preventing widespread dissemination of the virus. Knowledge of factors affecting the risk of spread are key components for surveillance planning and resource allocation, and this work provides a valuable stepping stone in guiding policy on CSF surveillance and control in GB.
引用
收藏
相关论文
共 108 条
  • [1] Moennig V(2003)Clinical signs and epidemiology of classical swine fever: a review of new knowledge The Veterinary Journal 165 11-20
  • [2] Floegel-Niesmann G(1999)A model to estimate the financial consequences of classical swine fever outbreaks: principles and outcomes Preventive Veterinary Medicine 42 249-270
  • [3] Greiser-Wilke I(2013)Classical swine fever in Europe—the current situation Berl Munch Tierarztl Wochenschr 126 468-475
  • [4] Meuwissen MPM(2003)The risk of introduction of classical swine fever virus at regional level in the European Union: a conceptual framework Revue Scientifique et Technique de l’Office International des Epizooties 22 795-810
  • [5] Horst SH(2013)Vaccination against foot-and-mouth disease: do initial conditions affect its benefit? PLoS One 8 e77616-3248
  • [6] Huirne RBM(2009)The role of pre-emptive culling in the control of foot-and-mouth disease Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 276 3239-163
  • [7] Dijkhuizen AA(2002)Simulated effect of pig-population density on epidemic size and choice of control strategy for classical swine fever epidemics in The Netherlands Preventive Veterinary Medicine 56 141-86
  • [8] Postel A(2006)Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK Nature 440 83-37
  • [9] Moennig V(2011)The role of movement restrictions and pre-emptive destruction in the emergency control strategy against CSF outbreaks in domestic pigs Preventive Veterinary Medicine 99 28-265
  • [10] Becher P(2014)Control of Classical Swine Fever Epidemics Under Varying Conditions–With Special Focus on Emergency Vaccination and Rapid PCR Testing Transboundary and Emerging Diseases 61 258-36
12345678910