Left ventricular mass as a predictor of cardiovascular events in the era of hypertension management using home blood pressure measurement: the J-HOP study

Target organ damage (TOD) is associated with a risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) independent of blood pressure (BP); however, this association has been observed based on the assessment of office BP. We studied 1641 patients (mean age 64.8 ± 11.7 years) with CVD risk factors who underwent home BP measurement over a 14-day period and evaluated TOD at baseline and then performed follow-up examination of the J-HOP (Japan Morning Surge-Home Blood Pressure) study results. During the median follow-up of 6.6 ± 3.5 years, 115 participants experienced a CVD event. After adjustment for CVD risk factors, including office systolic BP, the adjusted hazard ratios expressing the risk of CVD events were 1.30 (95% confidence interval, 1.15–1.52), 1.27 (1.04–1.56), and 1.25 (1.11–1.40) per one-SD increase in log-transformed urinary albumin creatinine ratio (UACR, 0.57 mg/gCre), brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV, 342 cm/s) and left ventricular mass index (LVMI, 26.6 g/m2) assessed by echocardiography, respectively. Even after adding home systolic BP as a covariate, these associations remained except for the association with baPWV (all P < 0.05). The C-statistic for the base model including office and home systolic BP for the risk of CVD events was 0.783 (95% CI: 0.743, 0.824), which significantly increased to 0.795 (95% CI: 0.757, 0.834) after adding LVMI, and changed slightly but not significantly with the addition of UACR or baPWV. Adding UACR, baPWV, or both to the model including LVMI did not improve CVD event prediction. In the modern era of hypertension management using home BP measurement, TOD indicators, especially LVMI, provide superior CVD event prediction independent of and beyond home BP.