Carbon-based border tax adjustments and China’s international trade: analysis based on a dynamic computable general equilibrium model

被引：21

作者：

Tang L. ^{[1
]}

Bao Q. ^{[2
]}

Zhang Z.X. ^{[3
,4
]}

Wang S. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing

[2] Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing

[3] Department of Public Economics, School of Economics, Fudan University, 600 Guoquan Road, Shanghai

[4] College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin

来源：

Environmental Economics and Policy Studies | 2015年 / 17卷 / 2期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Border carbon tax adjustments; China; Dynamic computable general equilibrium model; International trade; Technological change;

D O I：

10.1007/s10018-014-0100-3

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

This paper examines the impacts of the proposed carbon-based border tax adjustments (BTAs) on China’s trade, based on a multi-sector dynamic computable general equilibrium model including 7 energy sectors and 30 non-energy sectors and running up to the year 2030. Distinct from previous single China country models, our model disaggregates foreign accounts of China into four regions, including USA and the EU, to enable to examine the effects of re-routing trade flows. The results suggest that BTAs would have a negative impact on China’s trade. BTAs will directly decrease China’s exports, whereas Chinese exporting enterprises will accordingly modify their strategies. Moreover, BTAs will affect China’s total imports and sectoral import in an indirect but more intricate way. Furthermore, the simulation results for coping policies indicate that enhancing China’s power in world price determination and improving energy technology efficiency will effectively help mitigate the damages caused by BTAs. © 2015, Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies and Springer Japan.

引用

页码：329 / 360

页数：31

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