Influence mechanism of climate change on paddy farming practices and irrigation water demand

被引:0
作者
Gun-Ho Cho
Mirza Junaid Ahmad
Seulgi Lee
Kyung-Sook Choi
Won-Ho Nam
Hyung-Joong Kwon
机构
[1] Kyungpook National University,Department of Agricultural Civil Engineering, Institute of Agricultural Science and Technology
[2] Hankyong National University,Department of Bio
[3] Lido Engineering Co.,resources and Rural Systems Engineering
[4] LTD,Department of Research Center
来源
Paddy and Water Environment | 2019年 / 17卷
关键词
Irrigation water demand; Climate change; Farming practices; Paddy rice;
D O I
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中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Technological and socioeconomic interventions accompanied by climate warming strongly dictate farming practices, lending a direct impact over future irrigation water demand and supply. In this article, two pivotal factors of farming practices and climate change were included to assess their role in the future paddy water management of Korea. Field surveys were conducted across irrigated areas of twelve agricultural reservoirs to distinguish traditional and current paddy farming practices. Projected climate for two future time slices the 2060s (2020 to 2059) and the 2100s (2060 to 2100) under two representative concentration pathway scenarios (4.5 and 8.5) were used for climate change impact assessment. Crop evapotranspiration (ETc), effective rainfall, gross duty of water (GDW) and annual inflow were simulated from 1987 to 2100 under both farming practices. Future climate projections suggested a continuous warming trend accompanied by distinctively negative/positive shifts in central/southern region annual rainfall by the end of the twenty-first century. Annual inflow in the central (southern) region reservoirs exhibited downward (upward) trends during the 2060s and only upward trends during the 2100s, respectively, whereas rice ETc showed upward tendencies regardless of the farming practices. Rice season effective rainfall varied for different reservoirs mostly showing increasing tendencies. The GDW increased implying that projected positive rainfall shifts might not withhold the driving impacts of temperature rise over regional irrigation water demands. Following the traditional farming practices in future would intensify the anticipated rise in irrigation demand and may lead to water shortages given the present storage capacities of agricultural reservoirs.
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页码:359 / 371
页数:12
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