Modelling the Latvian power market to evaluate its environmental long-term performance

被引：19

作者：

Blumberga, Dagnija ^{[1
]}

Blumberga, Andra ^{[1
]}

Barisa, Aiga ^{[1
]}

Rosa, Marika ^{[1
]}

Lauka, Dace ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Riga Tech Univ, Inst Energy Syst & Environm, LV-1043 Riga, Latvia

来源：

APPLIED ENERGY | 2016年 / 162卷

关键词：

Modelling; Power; Renewable energy; System dynamics; SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH; ELECTRICITY MARKET; ENERGY-SYSTEM; HIGH PENETRATION; FUTURE; INVESTMENT; MITIGATION; RENEWABLES; EXPANSION; FINLAND;

D O I：

10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.06.016

中图分类号：

TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];

学科分类号：

0807 ; 0820 ;

摘要：

In this paper we study development patterns of Latvian electricity market. It is done based on a newly developed computer-aided simulation model. System dynamics approach was used to simulate long-term development of electricity sector in the region under the existing policy design. Results demonstrate that renewable energy sources have a high potential to integrate in the electricity generation balance. Important preconditions for this to happen are: presence of appropriate support measures, a continuous technological progress and fossil fuel price increase. Under such scenario around 70% carbon dioxide emission savings can be achieved by 2050. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：1593 / 1600

页数：8

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