Multiperiod robust optimization for proactive resource provisioning in virtualized data centers

Energy management has become a significant concern in data centers for reducing operational costs. Using virtualization allows server consolidation, which increases server utilization and reduces energy consumption by turning off idle servers. This needs to consider the power state change overhead. In this paper, we investigate proactive resource provisioning in short-term planning for performance and energy management. To implement short-term planning based on workload prediction, this requires dealing with high fluctuations that are inaccurately predictable by using single value prediction. Unlike long-term planning, short-term planning can not depend on periodical patterns. Thus, we propose an adaptive range-based prediction algorithm instead of a single value. We implement and extensively evaluate the proposed range-based prediction algorithm with different days of real workload. Then, we exploit the range prediction for implementing proactive provisioning using robust optimization taking into consideration uncertainty of the demand. We formulate proactive VM provisioning as a multiperiod robust optimization problem. To evaluate the proposed approach, we use several experimental setups and different days of real workload. We use two metrics: energy savings and robustness for ranking the efficiency of different scenarios. Our approach mitigates undesirable changes in the power state of servers. This enhances servers' availability for accommodating new VMs, its robustness against uncertainty in workload change, and its reliability against a system failure due to frequent power state changes.