On a clear day you might see an environmental Kuznets curve

被引:35
作者
Johansson, Per-Olov
Kristrom, Bengt
机构
[1] Stockholm Sch Econ, S-11383 Stockholm, Sweden
[2] Univ Oslo, Dept Econ, N-0317 Oslo, Norway
[3] Swedish Univ Agr Sci, Dept Forest Econ, S-90183 Umea, Sweden
关键词
Kuznets; pollution; general equilibrium; structural breaks; long run data (1900-2002);
D O I
10.1007/s10640-007-9112-9
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We shed some new light on the Environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) and show how it can be viewed as a particular form of equilibrium relationship, where technology and preference parameters determine the shape of the curve. In contrast to most of the literature on the EKC, we estimate a theoretically consistent model on long-run data (Swedish sulfur emission, covering the period 1900-2002). Furthermore, we test and date structural change. The model suggests four regimes, 1900-1918, 1919-1933, 1934-1967 and 1968-2002, generating four rather different patterns for pollution over time. The policy-conclusions are consonant with Pearce's general view about the EKC: there is no theoretical presumption that it has an inverted U shape, nor should any country try to "grow out of the environmental problems" without analyzing the benefits and costs of so doing.
引用
收藏
页码:77 / 90
页数:14
相关论文
共 30 条
[1]  
Aghion P., 1998, ENDOGENOUS GROWTH TH
[2]   The simple analytics of the environmental Kuznets curve [J].
Andreoni, J ;
Levinson, A .
JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS, 2001, 80 (02) :269-286
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1994, 4634 NAT BUR EC RES
[4]   Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models [J].
Bai, J ;
Perron, P .
JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, 2003, 18 (01) :1-22
[5]   Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes [J].
Bai, JS ;
Perron, P .
ECONOMETRICA, 1998, 66 (01) :47-78
[6]  
BROCK W, 2004, 1050 NBER
[7]  
CANTORE N, 2006, 13 ULV C ENV EC ULV
[8]   Trade, growth, and the environment [J].
Copeland, BR ;
Taylor, MS .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE, 2004, 42 (01) :7-71
[9]  
DIJKGRAAF E, 1998, 9806 ERASM U RES CTR
[10]  
EGH H, 2005, THESIS U ZURICH