Estimating short-term mortality and economic benefit attributable to PM10 exposure in China based on BenMAP

被引:6
作者
Chen, Li [1 ]
Mao, Jian [1 ]
Shi, Mengshuang [1 ]
Zhang, Hui [1 ]
Sun, Yanling [1 ]
Gao, Shuang [1 ]
Li, Suhuan [1 ]
Li, Miyuan [1 ]
Ma, Zhenxing [1 ]
Bai, Zhipeng [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Tianjin Normal Univ, Sch Geog & Environm Sci, Tianjin 300387, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Res Inst Environm Sci, State Key Lab Environm Criteria & Risk Assessment, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China
基金
国家重点研发计划;
关键词
PM10; BenMAP; Health benefit; Economic benefit; China; PARTICULATE AIR-POLLUTION; MATTER POLLUTION; HEALTH-RISKS; URBAN AREAS; SHANGHAI; QUALITY; CITIES; BURDEN;
D O I
10.1007/s11356-018-2805-5
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
With the rapidly booming economy, China has been suffering from serious particulate matter (PM) pollution in recent years. In order to improve the air quality, Chinese government issued a new China National Ambient Air Quality Standard (No. GB3095-2012) in 2012. In this study, PM10 exposure level was simulated based on the data of 912 newly constructed monitoring sites and Voronoi Neighborhood Averaging (VNA) interpolation method. It is widely accepted that PM10 can cause short-term health effects. We calculated the short-term health benefit due to decreasing PM10 concentration to the levels of China National Ambient Air Quality Standard based on Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program (BenMAP). Our results indicated that if the daily average concentration of PM10 reduced to the daily Grade II standard (150g/m(3)), the avoided deaths for all cause, cardiovascular disease, and respiratory disease would be 82,000 (95%CI: 49,000-120,000), 56,000 (95%CI: 34,000-78,000), and 16,000 (95%CI: 10,000-22,000) in 2014, respectively. The economic benefits of avoiding deaths due to all cause for rolling back the concentration of PM10 to the level of 50g/m(3) were estimated to be 240 billion CNY and 16 billion CNY using willingness to pay (WTP) and human capital (HC) methods, respectively, which accounted for 0.38% (95%CI: 0.11-0.64%) and 0.03% (95%CI: 0.02-0.03%) of the total annual gross domestic product (GDP) of China in 2014.
引用
收藏
页码:28367 / 28377
页数:11
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