Acute vs cumulative benefits of metformin use in patients with type 2 diabetes and heart failure

Aims: To evaluate the association between metformin use and heart failure (HF) exacerbation in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and pre-existing HF using alternative exposure models. Materials and methods: We analysed data for patients with T2D and incident HF from a national US insurance claims database. We compared the results of several multivariable Cox models where time-varying use of metformin was modelled as: (1) current use; (2) total duration of past use; and (3) use within the past 30 days or 10 days. The outcome was defined as time to HF-related hospitalization. We then re-analysed the data using flexible weighted cumulative exposure (WCE) models. Results: A total of 7620 patients with diabetes and incident HF were analysed. The mean (SD) patient age was 54 (8) years, and 58% (n = 4440) were men. In all, 3799 individuals (50%) were exposed to metformin, and 837 HF hospitalizations (11%) occurred (mean follow-up 1.7 years). Results of conventional models suggested potential acute benefits in reducing HF exacerbation with metformin use in the past 10 days (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60-0.97), while WCE models, which provided a better fit for the data, suggested lack of a systematic effect (aHR 0.91, 95% CI 0.69-1.20). Conclusions: Our results suggest that cumulative metformin exposure does not decrease the risk of HF-related exacerbation. Use of other anti-hyperglycaemic agents with proven efficacy in patients with HF should also be considered as treatment options in this population.