Which comes first - urbanization or economic growth? Evidence from heterogeneous panel causality tests

被引:45
作者
Liddle, Brantley [1 ]
Messinis, George [2 ]
机构
[1] Asia Pacific Energy Res Ctr APERC, Tokyo 1040054, Japan
[2] Victoria Univ, Victoria Inst Strateg Econ Studies, Melbourne, Vic 8001, Australia
关键词
urbanization; economic growth; heterogeneous panel causality; O55; O54; O18; C23; ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION; LEVEL;
D O I
10.1080/13504851.2014.943877
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Heterogeneous panel causality tests are employed to consider the relationship between urbanization change and economic growth. Urbanization causes economic growth in high-income countries, but noncausality could not be rejected for both middle-income and Latin American countries. A bi-directional, equilibrium relationship is observed for low-income, predominately African countries where economic growth has a positive, causal effect on urbanization, but where urbanization has a negative, causal effect on economic growth. Hence, urbanization and economic growth either co-evolve in low-income/African and high-income countries, or else the two processes are decoupled for middle-income and Latin American countries.
引用
收藏
页码:349 / 355
页数:7
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