We study the cross-section of stock option returns by sorting stocks on the difference between historical realized volatility and at-the-money implied volatility. We find that a zero-cost trading strategy that is long (short) in the portfolio with a large positive (negative) difference between these two volatility measures produces an economically and statistically significant average monthly return. The results are robust to different market conditions, to stock risks-characteristics, to various industry groupings, to option liquidity characteristics, and are not explained by usual risk factor models. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaChinese Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Cao, Jie
Han, Bing
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Univ Texas Austin, McCombs Sch Business, Austin, TX 78712 USA
Peking Univ, Guanghua Sch Management, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaChinese Univ Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
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Bank England, Threadneedle St, London EC2R 8AH, EnglandBank England, Threadneedle St, London EC2R 8AH, England
Fullwood, Jonathan
James, Jessica
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Commerzbank, 30 Gresham St, London EC2V 7PG, England
City Univ London, Bayes Business Sch, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, EnglandBank England, Threadneedle St, London EC2R 8AH, England
James, Jessica
Marsh, Ian W.
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City Univ London, Bayes Business Sch, 106 Bunhill Row, London EC1Y 8TZ, EnglandBank England, Threadneedle St, London EC2R 8AH, England