Do we think we make better forecasts than in the past? A survey of academics

被引：2

作者：

Franses, PH ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Erasmus Univ, Inst Econometr, NL-3000 DR Rotterdam, Netherlands

来源：

INTERFACES | 2004年 / 34卷 / 06期

关键词：

forecasting; professional : OR/MS implementation;

D O I：

10.1287/inte.1040.0102

中图分类号：

C93 [管理学];

学科分类号：

12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;

摘要：

A survey of 76 members of the editorial boards of six academic journals indicates that 64 percent believe that we have made modest progress in forecasting over the past three decades. They attribute this progress largely to increased computing power and improved data. They believe we would make further progress by including experts' opinions.

引用

页码：466 / 468

页数：3