Last interglacial model-data mismatch of thermal maximum temperatures partially explained

被引:23
作者
Bakker, P. [1 ]
Renssen, H. [1 ]
机构
[1] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Dept Earth Sci, Earth & Climate Cluster, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands
关键词
SYSTEM MODEL; SEA-LEVEL; INTERMEDIATE COMPLEXITY; CLIMATE MODEL; VERSION; SENSITIVITY; EFFICIENT; GASES;
D O I
10.5194/cp-10-1633-2014
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
The timing of the last interglacial (LIG) thermal maximum across the globe remains to be precisely assessed. Because of difficulties in establishing a common temporal framework between records from different palaeoclimatic archives retrieved from various places around the globe, it has not yet been possible to reconstruct spatio-temporal variations in the occurrence of the maximum warmth across the globe. Instead, snapshot reconstructions of warmest LIG conditions have been presented, which have an underlying assumption that maximum warmth occurred synchronously everywhere. Although known to be an oversimplification, the impact of this assumption on temperature estimates has yet to be assessed. We use the LIG temperature evolutions simulated by nine different climate models to investigate whether the assumption of synchronicity results in a sizeable overestimation of the LIG thermal maximum. We find that for annual temperatures, the overestimation is small, strongly model-dependent (global mean 0.4 +/- 0.3 degrees C) and cannot explain the recently published 0.67 degrees C difference between simulated and reconstructed annual mean temperatures during the LIG thermal maximum. However, if one takes into consideration that temperature proxies are possibly biased towards summer, the overestimation of the LIG thermal maximum based on warmest month temperatures is non-negligible with a global mean of 1.1 +/- 0.4 degrees C.
引用
收藏
页码:1633 / 1644
页数:12
相关论文
共 42 条
[1]   Last Interglacial Arctic warmth confirms polar amplification of climate change [J].
Anderson, Pat ;
Bermike, Ole ;
Bigelow, Nancy ;
Brigham-Grette, Julie ;
Duvall, Matt ;
Edwards, Mary ;
Frechette, Bianca ;
Funder, Svend ;
Johnsen, Sigfus ;
Knies, Jochen ;
Koerner, Roy ;
Lozhkin, Anatoly ;
Marshall, Shawn ;
Matthiessen, Jens ;
Macdonald, Glen ;
Miller, Gifford ;
Montoya, Marisa ;
Muhs, Daniel ;
Otto-Bliesner, Bette ;
Overpeck, Jonathan ;
Reeh, Niels ;
Sejrup, Hans Petter ;
Spielhagen, Robert ;
Turner, Charles ;
Velichko, Andrei .
QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS, 2006, 25 (13-14) :1383-1400
[2]  
[Anonymous], REPORTMAX PLANCK
[3]   Temperature trends during the Present and Last Interglacial periods - a multi-model-data comparison [J].
Bakker, P. ;
Masson-Delmotte, V. ;
Martrat, B. ;
Charbit, S. ;
Renssen, H. ;
Groeger, M. ;
Krebs-Kanzow, U. ;
Lohmann, G. ;
Lunt, D. J. ;
Pfeiffer, M. ;
Phipps, S. J. ;
Prange, M. ;
Ritz, S. P. ;
Schulz, M. ;
Stenni, B. ;
Stone, E. J. ;
Varma, V. .
QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS, 2014, 99 :224-243
[4]   Last interglacial temperature evolution - a model inter-comparison [J].
Bakker, P. ;
Stone, E. J. ;
Charbit, S. ;
Groeger, M. ;
Krebs-Kanzow, U. ;
Ritz, S. P. ;
Varma, V. ;
Khon, V. ;
Lunt, D. J. ;
Mikolajewicz, U. ;
Prange, M. ;
Renssen, H. ;
Schneider, B. ;
Schulz, M. .
CLIMATE OF THE PAST, 2013, 9 (02) :605-619
[5]   Sensitivity of the North Atlantic climate to Greenland Ice Sheet melting during the Last Interglacial [J].
Bakker, P. ;
van Meerbeeck, C. J. ;
Renssen, H. .
CLIMATE OF THE PAST, 2012, 8 (03) :995-1009
[6]   GLOBAL CHANGE Interglacial and future sea level [J].
Clark, Peter U. ;
Huybers, Peter .
NATURE, 2009, 462 (7275) :856-857
[7]   The Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3) [J].
Collins, William D. ;
Bitz, Cecilia M. ;
Blackmon, Maurice L. ;
Bonan, Gordon B. ;
Bretherton, Christopher S. ;
Carton, James A. ;
Chang, Ping ;
Doney, Scott C. ;
Hack, James J. ;
Henderson, Thomas B. ;
Kiehl, Jeffrey T. ;
Large, William G. ;
McKenna, Daniel S. ;
Santer, Benjamin D. ;
Smith, Richard D. .
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2006, 19 (11) :2122-2143
[8]   Uncertainties due to transport-parameter sensitivity in an efficient 3-D ocean-climate model [J].
Edwards, N ;
Marsh, R .
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2005, 24 (04) :415-433
[9]   Description of the Earth system model of intermediate complexity LOVECLIM version 1.2 [J].
Goosse, H. ;
Brovkin, V. ;
Fichefet, T. ;
Haarsma, R. ;
Huybrechts, P. ;
Jongma, J. ;
Mouchet, A. ;
Selten, F. ;
Barriat, P-Y ;
Campin, J-M ;
Deleersnijder, E. ;
Driesschaert, E. ;
Goelzer, H. ;
Janssens, I. ;
Loutre, M-F ;
Maqueda, M. A. Morales ;
Opsteegh, T. ;
Mathieu, P-P ;
Munhoven, G. ;
Pettersson, E. J. ;
Renssen, H. ;
Roche, D. M. ;
Schaeffer, M. ;
Tartinville, B. ;
Timmermann, A. ;
Weber, S. L. .
GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT, 2010, 3 (02) :603-633
[10]   The simulation of SST, sea ice extents and ocean heat transports in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without flux adjustments [J].
Gordon, C ;
Cooper, C ;
Senior, CA ;
Banks, H ;
Gregory, JM ;
Johns, TC ;
Mitchell, JFB ;
Wood, RA .
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2000, 16 (2-3) :147-168