Analysis of Global Warming's Influence on the Dimensioning of Borehole Heat Exchangers at a Climate-Exposed Site

A borehole heat exchanger (BHE) presents the most reliable source of geothermal energy for any object where the heat pump system is to be installed. The main objective of BHE optimization in a specific rock massive and for calculated heat consumption is to design a BHE with proper capacity and sustainable performance. One of the most important inputs for the preparation of such a model is the average outer air temperature on the site during the year. While the properties of the local rock massive are from the heat project lifetime view (tens of years) stable, the local average outer temperature fluctuates according to global climate changes. This article presents a study of the impact of climate changes on the dimensioning process of a BHE and consequently on its performance using data from a real installation at a highly climate-exposed site in the Czech Republic. During the dimensioning of a BHE, this study could help to better quantify the objective risks that result from climate changes. However, the results of this study show that the currently calculated impact of an increase in outer temperature is not crucial, but it is advisable to take this new fact into account during the design and dimensioning process, especially for large installations. To study the ground in terms of usable energy potential at climate-exposed locations properly, the available data were critically analyzed and the results were then synthesized in an appropriate way for the needs of the data simulations.