A study on canine distemper virus (CDV) and rabies epidemics in the red fox population via fractional derivatives

被引:33
作者
Kumar, Pushpendra [1 ]
Erturk, Vedat Suat [2 ]
Yusuf, Abdullahi [3 ,4 ]
Nisar, Kottakkaran Sooppy [5 ]
Abdelwahab, Sayed F. [6 ]
机构
[1] Cent Univ Punjab, Sch Basic & Appl Sci, Dept Math & Stat, Bathinda 151001, Punjab, India
[2] Ondokuz Mayis Univ, Dept Math, TR-55200 Atakum, Samsun, Turkey
[3] Biruni Univ Istanbul, Dept Comp Engn, Istanbul, Turkey
[4] Fed Univ Dutse, Sci Fac, Dept Math, Jigawa 7156, Nigeria
[5] Prince Sattam bin Abdulaziz Univ, Dept Math, Coll Arts & Sci, Wadi Aldawaser 11991, Saudi Arabia
[6] Taif Univ, Dept Pharmaceut & Ind Pharm, Coll Pharm, POB 11099, At Taif 21944, Saudi Arabia
关键词
Canine distemper virus; Rabies epidemic; New generalized Caputo-type fractional-order derivative; Mathematical model; Predictor-corrector method; Numerical simulations; DISEASE; SUSCEPTIBILITY; VACCINATION; DYNAMICS; CAPUTO;
D O I
10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104281
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Several deadly epidemics that have recognized as serious problems all over the world in the last few decades. Lassa hemorrhagic fever, coronavirus, dengue fever, malaria, and HIV are well-known deadly diseases in humans. In this research, we analysed the dynamics of the canine distemper virus (CDV) and rabies epidemics in the red fox population of the northern region of Italy with the help of time-fractional models. We performed our analysis in the new generalized Caputo non-classical derivative sense with the application of the Predictor-Corrector algorithm. We used the data of northern Italy for simulations and estimated the endemic equilibrium points for both CDV and rabies models. Also, we presented the local stability of disease-free equilibrium points. Some theorems are mentioned for the purpose of existence and uniqueness analysis. Our results are perfect for giving an idea of the dynamics of the CDV and rabies epidemic in northern Italy. The dynamics of the given solutions are specified with the help of necessary graphical simulations. The projected algorithm is so effective in finding the solutions of complex dynamical systems. By this study, we give an idea of how applied mathematics is directly connected to biological studies. The major scientific aim of this study is to understand the outbreaks of CDV and rabies on the population of the red foxes by using the texture of fractional mathematical models.
引用
收藏
页数:12
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