AIDS and COVID: A tale of two pandemics and the role of statisticians

被引:8
作者
Ellenberg, Susan S. [1 ]
Morris, Jeffrey S. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Penn, Perelman Sch Med, Dept Biostat Epidemiol & Informat, 423 Guardian Dr, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
关键词
AIDS; COVID-19; diagnostic testing; infectious disease modeling; pandemic; HUMAN-IMMUNODEFICIENCY-VIRUS; SCREENED BLOOD; TRANSMISSION; EPIDEMIC; RISK; ZIDOVUDINE; INFECTION; TYPE-1; SPREAD;
D O I
10.1002/sim.8936
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
The world has experienced three global pandemics over the last half-century: HIV/AIDS, H1N1, and COVID-19. HIV/AIDS and COVID-19 are still with us and have wrought extensive havoc worldwide. There are many differences between these two infections and their global impacts, but one thing they have in common is the mobilization of scientific resources to both understand the infection and develop ways to combat it. As was the case with HIV, statisticians have been in the forefront of scientists working to understand transmission dynamics and the natural history of infection, determine prognostic factors for severe disease, and develop optimal study designs to assess therapeutics and vaccines.
引用
收藏
页码:2499 / 2510
页数:12
相关论文
共 108 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], 2020, ASSOCIATED PRESS
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2011, LANCET, DOI DOI 10.1056/NEJMoa1105243
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2020, MMWR-MORBID MORTAL W, DOI DOI 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003346
[4]  
[Anonymous], 1991, NATURE
[5]  
[Anonymous], 1991, J ACQ IMMUN DEF SYND
[6]   SEASONALITY AND PERIOD-DOUBLING BIFURCATIONS IN AN EPIDEMIC MODEL [J].
ARON, JL ;
SCHWARTZ, IB .
JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY, 1984, 110 (04) :665-679
[7]   INCUBATION PERIODS FOR PEDIATRIC AIDS PATIENTS [J].
AUGER, I ;
THOMAS, P ;
DEGRUTTOLA, V ;
MORSE, D ;
MOORE, D ;
WILLIAMS, R ;
TRUMAN, B ;
LAWRENCE, CE .
NATURE, 1988, 336 (6199) :575-577
[8]   Estimation of the timing of perinatal transmission of HIV [J].
Balasubramanian, R ;
Lagakos, SW .
BIOMETRICS, 2001, 57 (04) :1048-1058
[9]   Estimating excess 1-year mortality associated with the COVID-19 pandemic according to underlying conditions and age: a population-based cohort study [J].
Banerjee, Amitava ;
Pasea, Laura ;
Harris, Steve ;
Gonzalez-Izquierdo, Arturo ;
Torralbo, Ana ;
Shallcross, Laura ;
Noursadeghi, Mahdad ;
Pillay, Deenan ;
Sebire, Neil ;
Holmes, Chris ;
Pagel, Christina ;
Wong, Wai Keong ;
Langenberg, Claudia ;
Williams, Bryan ;
Denaxas, Spiros ;
Hemingway, Harry .
LANCET, 2020, 395 (10238) :1715-1725
[10]   Protease inhibitors for HIV infection [J].
Bartlett, JG .
ANNALS OF INTERNAL MEDICINE, 1996, 124 (12) :1086-1088