Forecasting Extreme Space-Weather Events on the Basis of Cosmic-Ray Fluctuations

被引：1

作者：

Kozlov, V., I ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Russian Acad Sci, Shafer Inst Cosmophys Res & Aeron, Siberian Branch, Yakutsk, Russia

来源：

COSMIC RESEARCH | 2022年 / 60卷 / 02期

关键词：

SOLAR; DYNAMICS;

D O I：

10.1134/S0010952522010063

中图分类号：

V [航空、航天];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0825 ;

摘要：

In extreme events of space weather, very large fluxes of "storm" particles are formed preceding the arrival of a shock wave into the Earth's orbit. They are the ones that pose the greatest danger to life-support systems in the upper atmosphere, in space, and on the Earth. The results have been checked of the prediction of "storm" particles accelerated by shock waves from variations in high-energy cosmic rays by measurements on the ACE spacecraft (United States). The forecast reliability is assessed at P >= 80%.

引用

页码：79 / 88

页数：10

共 28 条

[1] Aimanova G.K., 1990, APPL METHODS TOPOLOG, P52
[2] Aivazyan S.A., 1983, PRIKLADNAYA STAT OSN
[3] SELF-ORGANIZED CRITICALITY
BAK, P
TANG, C
WIESENFELD, K
[J]. PHYSICAL REVIEW A, 1988, 38 (01): : 364 - 374
[4] Bak P., 1996, NATURE WORKS SCI SEL
[5] Crownover R.M., 1995, Introduction to fractals and chaos
[6] SOLAR HARD X-RAY-BURSTS
DENNIS, BR
[J]. SOLAR PHYSICS, 1985, 100 (1-2) : 465 - 490
[7] Kamoldinov S.M, 1975, P 14 INT COSM RAY C, V3, P838
[8] Multipoint Observations of the June 2012 Interacting Interplanetary Flux Ropes
Kilpua, Emilia K. J.
Good, Simon W.
Palmerio, Erika
Asvestari, Eleanna
Lumme, Erkka
Ala-Lahti, Matti
Kalliokoski, Milla M. H.
Morosan, Diana E.
Pomoell, Jens
Price, Daniel J.
Magdalenic, Jasmina
Poedts, Stefaan
Futaana, Yoshifumi
[J]. FRONTIERS IN ASTRONOMY AND SPACE SCIENCES, 2019, 6
[9] Galactic cosmic ray fluctuation parameter as an indicator of the degree of magnetic field inhomogeneity
Kozlov, V. I.
Kozlov, V. V.
[J]. GEOMAGNETISM AND AERONOMY, 2011, 51 (02) : 187 - 197
[10] Kozlov V.I., 2019, COSMIC RAYS

← 1 2 3 →