Active management in state-owned energy companies: Integrating a real options approach into multicriteria analysis to make companies sustainable

被引:21
作者
Hernandez-Perdomo, Elvis A. [1 ]
Mun, Johnathan [2 ]
Rocco S, Claudio M. [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Hull, Kingston Upon Hull, N Humberside, England
[2] US Naval Postgrad Sch, Monterey, CA USA
[3] Univ Cent Venezuela, Fac Ingn, Apartado Postal 47932, Caracas, Venezuela
关键词
Real options; Multicriteria analysis; Decision making; Company management; PROMETHEE methods; DECISION-MAKING; PROMETHEE; PROJECTS; VALUATION; SELECTION; TOPSIS; INVESTMENT;
D O I
10.1016/j.apenergy.2017.03.068
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
As a fundamental approach to assess active management and decision-making challenges in large stateowned energy companies (e.g., sustainability, social responsibility, economic growth, and shareholder value), this paper presents a methodological approach, based on a real case study, for integrating real options analysis into multicriteria analysis in order to evaluate and holistically rank a portfolio of multiple firms' projects. While real options analysis adds value to the projects by hedging uncertainty and valuing flexibility in the decision-making process, multicriteria analysis allows ranking the projects through an Aggregate Quality function that synthesizes economic and social impacts such as gross domestic product and employment. The proposed approach divides the decision-making problem into three main areas that consider aspects related to decision makers' preferences (behavioral area), data analysis (analytical area), and projects' rankings (multicriteria analysis methods) based on the use of Preference Ranking Organization Methods for Enrichment Evaluations (PROMETHEE). A case example involving a portfolio of projects in state-owned energy companies discusses the benefits of the proposed methodology. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:487 / 502
页数:16
相关论文
共 91 条
[1]   Decision making under uncertainty using a qualitative TOPSIS method for selecting sustainable energy alternatives [J].
Afsordegan, A. ;
Sanchez, M. ;
Agell, N. ;
Zahedi, S. ;
Cremades, L. V. .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2016, 13 (06) :1419-1432
[2]   The Importance of Revenue Sharing for the Local Economic Impacts of a Renewable Energy Project: A Social Accounting Matrix Approach [J].
Allan, Grant ;
Mcgregor, Peter ;
Swales, Kim .
REGIONAL STUDIES, 2011, 45 (09) :1171-1186
[3]  
Alleman JJ, 2007, NEW INVESTMENT THEOR
[4]   A real options approach for prioritizing ICT business alternatives: a case study from broadband technology business field [J].
Angelou, G. ;
Economides, A. .
JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY, 2008, 59 (10) :1340-1351
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2016, PERFORMANCE PROJECTS
[6]  
[Anonymous], WIND WORK WIND EN JO
[7]   Developing real option game models [J].
Azevedo, Alcino ;
Paxson, Dean .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2014, 237 (03) :909-920
[8]  
Bana C, 2003, 0356 LSE OR MACBETH
[9]   MACBETH [J].
Bana E Costa, Carlos A. ;
De Corte, Jean-Marie ;
Vansnick, Jean-Claude .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY & DECISION MAKING, 2012, 11 (02) :359-387
[10]   PROMETHEE: A comprehensive literature review on methodologies and applications [J].
Behzadian, Majid ;
Kazemadeh, R. B. ;
Albadvi, A. ;
Aghdasi, M. .
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2010, 200 (01) :198-215