Conditional extremes from heavy-tailed distributions: an application to the estimation of extreme rainfall return levels

被引:58
作者
Gardes, Laurent [1 ,2 ]
Girard, Stephane [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] INRIA Rhone Alpes, Team Mistis, F-38334 Montbonnot St Martin, Saint Ismier, France
[2] Lab Jean Kuntzmann, F-38334 Montbonnot St Martin, Saint Ismier, France
关键词
Conditional extreme quantiles; Heavy-tailed distribution; Nearest neighbor estimator; Extreme rainfalls; QUANTILES; MODELS; INDEX;
D O I
10.1007/s10687-010-0100-z
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
This paper is dedicated to the estimation of extreme quantiles and the tail index from heavy-tailed distributions when a covariate is recorded simultaneously with the quantity of interest. A nearest neighbor approach is used to construct our estimators. Their asymptotic normality is established under mild regularity conditions and their finite sample properties are illustrated on a simulation study. An application to the estimation of pointwise return levels of extreme rainfalls in the Cevennes-Vivarais region is provided.
引用
收藏
页码:177 / 204
页数:28
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