Do Markets Care Who Chairs the Central Bank?

被引:22
作者
Kuttner, Kenneth N. [1 ,2 ]
Posen, Adam S.
机构
[1] Williams Coll, Williamstown, MA 01267 USA
[2] Natl Bur Econ Res, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
关键词
E58; E61; G14; monetary policy; event study analysis; central bank independence; MONETARY-POLICY; INTEREST-RATES; EXCHANGE-RATES; NEWS; DISCRETION; INFLATION; SURPRISES; STABILITY; TARGET;
D O I
10.1111/j.1538-4616.2009.00290.x
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper assesses the impact of central bank governor appointments on exchange rates and bond yields using a new data set of announcements spanning 15 countries and 30 years. The results show that exchange rates exhibit a statistically significant response to the announcement of a new governor, especially when the appointee's identity was not anticipated. The reactions are especially pronounced for banks lacking either independence or a nominal anchor. New governors are not generally thought to lack credibility, however, as announcements generally do not cause exchange rate or bond yield movements signaling expectations of higher inflation or looser monetary policy.
引用
收藏
页码:347 / 371
页数:25
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