The ability of societies to adapt to twenty-firstcentury sea-level rise

被引:171
作者
Hinkel, Jochen [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. [4 ]
Brown, Sally [5 ,6 ]
Jimenez, Jose A. [7 ]
Lincke, Daniel [1 ]
Nicholls, Robert J. [5 ,6 ]
Scussolini, Paolo [4 ]
Sanchez-Arcilla, Agustin [7 ,8 ]
Vafeidis, Athanasios [9 ]
Addo, Kwasi Appeaning [10 ]
机构
[1] Global Climate Forum, Berlin, Germany
[2] Humboldt Univ, Albrecht Daniel Thaer Inst, Div Resource Econ, Berlin, Germany
[3] Humboldt Univ, Berlin Workshop Inst Anal Social Ecol Syst WINS, Berlin, Germany
[4] Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies, Amsterdam, Netherlands
[5] Univ Southampton, Fac Engn & Environm, Southampton, Hants, England
[6] Univ Southampton, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Southampton, Hants, England
[7] Univ Politecn Cataluna, Lab Engn Maritima, BarcelonaTech, Barcelona, Spain
[8] Int Ctr Coastal Resources Res, Barcelona, Spain
[9] Christian Albrechts Univ Kiel, Inst Geog, Kiel, Germany
[10] Univ Ghana, Dept Marine & Fisheries Sci, Legon, Ghana
基金
欧盟地平线“2020”;
关键词
CHI MINH CITY; CLIMATE-CHANGE; OVERCOMING BARRIERS; MANAGEMENT; NETHERLANDS; POLICY; DELTA; SUBSIDENCE; FRAMEWORK; IMPACTS;
D O I
10.1038/s41558-018-0176-z
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Against the background of potentially substantial sea-level rise, one important question is to what extent are coastal societies able to adapt? This question is often answered in the negative by referring to sinking islands and submerged megacities. Although these risks are real, the picture is incomplete because it lacks consideration of adaptation. This Perspective explores societies' abilities to adapt to twenty-first-century sea-level rise by integrating perspectives from coastal engineering, economics, finance and social sciences, and provides a comparative analysis of a set of cases that vary in terms of technological limits, economic and financial barriers to adaptation and social conflicts.
引用
收藏
页码:570 / 578
页数:9
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