Information use by humans during dynamic route choice in virtual crowd evacuations

被引:66
作者
Bode, Nikolai W. F. [1 ,2 ]
Wagoum, Armel U. Kemloh [3 ]
Codling, Edward A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Essex, Dept Math Sci, Colchester CO4 3SQ, Essex, England
[2] Univ Bristol, Dept Engn Math, Bristol BS8 1UB, Avon, England
[3] Forschungszentrum Julich, Julich Supercomp Ctr, D-52428 Julich, Germany
关键词
decision-making; crowd evacuations; virtual environment; route choice; Bayesian model selection; SIMULATION; DECISIONS; BEHAVIOR;
D O I
10.1098/rsos.140410
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
We conducted a computer-based experiment with over 450 human participants and used a Bayesian model selection approach to explore dynamic exit route choice mechanisms of individuals in simulated crowd evacuations. In contrast to previous work, we explicitly explore the use of time-dependent and time-independent information in decision-making. Our findings suggest that participants tended to base their exit choices on time-dependent information, such as differences in queue lengths and queue speeds at exits rather than on time-independent information, such as differences in exit widths or exit route length. We found weak support for similar decision-making mechanisms under a stress-inducing experimental treatment. However, under this treatment participants were less able or willing to adjust their original exit choice in the course of the evacuation. Our experiment is not a direct test of behaviour in real evacuations, but it does highlight the role different types of information and stress play in real human decision-making in a virtual environment. Our findings may be useful in identifying topics for future study on real human crowd movements or for developing more realistic agent-based simulations.
引用
收藏
页数:10
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