We study the effect of economic activity on the vote share of extremist political parties in Europe. Using a model that addresses the prevalent endogeneity problem, which is likely to have discouraged similar research, we find that small fluctuations in income per-capita have significant inverse effects on the vote share of far-right parties. Our results explain the widespread success of such parties in entering European parliaments following the 2007-2008 crisis. They also suggest that, ceteris paribus, far-right parties on the margin of electoral thresholds run the risk of losing parliamentary representation in the face of a steadily recovering world economy. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Univ Calif San Diego, Sch Global Policy & Strategy, 9500 Gilman Dr,MC 0519, La Jolla, CA 92093 USAUniv Calif San Diego, Sch Global Policy & Strategy, 9500 Gilman Dr,MC 0519, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Ahlquist, John
Copelovitch, Mark
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Univ Wisconsin, Dept Polit Sci, 401 North Hall,1050 Bascom Mall, Madison, WI 53706 USAUniv Calif San Diego, Sch Global Policy & Strategy, 9500 Gilman Dr,MC 0519, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA
Copelovitch, Mark
Walter, Stefanie
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Univ Zurich, Inst Polit Sci, Affolternstr 56, CH-8050 Zurich, SwitzerlandUniv Calif San Diego, Sch Global Policy & Strategy, 9500 Gilman Dr,MC 0519, La Jolla, CA 92093 USA