Long-term trend analysis in climate variables and agricultural adaptation strategies to climate change in the Senegal River Basin

被引:30
作者
Djaman, Koffi [1 ]
Balde, Alpha B. [1 ]
Rudnick, Daran R. [2 ]
Ndiaye, Ousmane [3 ]
Irmak, Suat [2 ]
机构
[1] Africa Rice Ctr, Sahel Reg Stn, BP 96, St Louis, Senegal
[2] Univ Nebraska, Dept Biol Syst Engn, Lincoln, NE 68583 USA
[3] Agence Natl Aviat Civile & Meteorol ANACIM, Dakar, Senegal
关键词
trend; analysis; Mann-Kendall test; Theil-Sen estimator; climate change; adaptation; Senegal River Basin; MINIMUM TEMPERATURE TRENDS; NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION; WATER-USE EFFICIENCY; SUNSHINE DURATION; SOLAR-RADIATION; TIME-SERIES; AIR-TEMPERATURE; WIND-SPEED; WEST; RAINFALL;
D O I
10.1002/joc.4885
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The objectives of this study were to investigate the trend in annual precipitation, sunshine duration, wind speed (u(2)), and annual and monthly minimum temperature (T-min), maximum temperature (T-max), and relative humidity (RH) and the adaptation strategies for the Senegal River Basin. Annual precipitation, Tmin, Tmax, RH, sunshine duration, and u(2) for the period of 1950-2000 recorded at St-Louis, Bakel, Dagana, Fanaye, Podor, and Matam have been analysed using the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's slope estimator. Annual precipitation varied with location from 900mm registered in 1967 at Bakel to 32 mm obtained at Dagana in 1986. A significant decreasing trend (p<0.001) in precipitation was observed at Podor, Dagana, Matam, Bakel, and St-Louis. A non-significant decreasing trend in annual precipitation was observed at Fanaye Dieri. There was a significant increasing trend (p<0.001) in Tmax and Tmin at all locations. Sunshine duration had a significant decreasing trend at Podor, Matam, and St-Louis at the rate of 0.27, 0.28, and 0.35 h decade(-1), respectively. RH and u(2) have differences in their trends, with the first one showing a strong and significant decrease and u(2) with less significance in their trends. The trend analysis in the climate variables revealed a change in climate that necessitates some specific actions for resources management sustainability and conservation.
引用
收藏
页码:2873 / 2888
页数:16
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