Prognostic impact of sustained new-onset atrial fibrillation in critically ill patients

被引:20
|
作者
Yoshida, Takuo [1 ]
Uchino, Shigehiko [1 ]
Sasabuchi, Yusuke [2 ]
Hagiwara, Yasuhiro [3 ]
Yoshida, Tomonao [4 ]
Nashiki, Hiroshi [5 ]
Suzuki, Hajime [6 ]
Takahashi, Hiroshi [7 ]
Kishihara, Yuki [8 ]
Nagasaki, Shinya [9 ]
Okazaki, Tomoya [10 ]
Katayama, Shinshu [11 ]
Sakuraya, Masaaki [12 ]
Ogura, Takayuki [13 ]
Inoue, Satoki [14 ]
Uchida, Masatoshi [15 ]
Osaki, Yuka [16 ]
Kuriyama, Akira [17 ]
Irie, Hiromasa [17 ]
Kyo, Michihito [18 ]
Shima, Nozomu [19 ]
Saito, Junichi [20 ]
Nakayama, Izumi [21 ]
Jingushi, Naruhiro [22 ]
Nishiyama, Kei [23 ]
Masuda, Takahiro [24 ]
Tsujita, Yasuyuki [25 ]
Okumura, Masatoshi [26 ]
Inoue, Haruka [27 ]
Aoki, Yoshitaka [28 ]
Kondo, Takashiro [29 ]
Nagata, Isao [30 ]
Igarashi, Takashi [31 ]
Saito, Nobuyuki [32 ]
Nakasone, Masato [33 ]
机构
[1] Jikei Univ, Dept Anesthesiol, Intens Care Unit, Sch Med,Minato Ku, Tokyo 1058471, Japan
[2] Jichi Med Univ, Data Sci Ctr, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan
[3] Univ Tokyo, Dept Biostat, Tokyo, Japan
[4] Hokkaido Univ, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
[5] Iwate Prefectural Cent Hosp, Morioka, Iwate, Japan
[6] Saitama Red Cross Hosp, Saitama, Japan
[7] Steel Mem Muroran Hosp, Muroran, Hokkaido, Japan
[8] Japanese Red Cross Musashino Hosp, Musashino, Tokyo, Japan
[9] Shonan Kamakura Gen Hosp, Kamakura, Kanagawa, Japan
[10] Kagawa Univ Hosp, Miki, Kagawa, Japan
[11] Jichi Med Univ Hosp, Shimotsuke, Tochigi, Japan
[12] JA Hiroshima Gen Hosp, Hatsukaichi, Japan
[13] Japanese Red Cross Maebashi Hosp, Maebashi, Gumma, Japan
[14] Nara Med Univ, Kashihara, Nara, Japan
[15] Dokkyo Med Univ, Mibu, Tochigi, Japan
[16] Natl Hosp Org Tokyo Med Ctr, Tokyo, Japan
[17] Kurashiki Cent Hosp, Kurashiki, Okayama, Japan
[18] Hiroshima Univ, Hiroshima, Japan
[19] Wakayama Med Univ, Wakayama, Japan
[20] Hirosaki Univ Hosp, Hirosaki, Aomori, Japan
[21] Okinawa Chubu Hosp, Uruma, Japan
[22] Fujita Med Univ, Toyoake, Aichi, Japan
[23] Kyoto Med Ctr, Kyoto, Japan
[24] Tokyo Med & Dent Univ, Tokyo, Japan
[25] Shiga Univ Med Sci, Otsu, Shiga, Japan
[26] Aichi Med Univ, Nagakute, Aichi, Japan
[27] Nagasaki Univ, Nagasaki, Japan
[28] Shizuoka Prefectural Gen Hosp, Shizuoka, Japan
[29] Natl Hosp Org Nagoya Med Ctr, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
[30] Yokohama City Minato Red Cross Hosp, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
[31] Kyorin Univ, Mitaka, Tokyo, Japan
[32] Nippon Med Sch, Chiba Hokusoh Hosp, Tokyo, Japan
[33] Tottori Univ, Tottori, Japan
关键词
New-onset atrial fibrillation; Duration of atrial fibrillation; Critical illness; Mortality; Stroke; INTENSIVE-CARE-UNIT; MORTALITY; STROKE; TACHYARRHYTHMIAS; ARRHYTHMIAS; EVENTS;
D O I
10.1007/s00134-019-05822-8
中图分类号
R4 [临床医学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100602 ;
摘要
Purpose The development of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in critically ill patients may be associated with poor outcomes. However, it is unknown whether sustained new-onset AF contributes to worse outcome. The aim of this study was to assess whether sustained new-onset AF is associated with stroke and death and to look for a possible dose-response relationship between AF duration and death. Methods In a prospective cohort study conducted in 32 intensive care units in Japan from 2017 to 2018, we enrolled adult patients with new-onset AF. We compared patients with AF duration longer than 48 h with those with AF duration shorter than 48 h. To assess a dose-response relationship between AF duration and hospital mortality, we conducted landmark analysis and time-dependent Cox regression analysis. Results Among a total of 423 new-onset AF patients, hospital mortality was 25%, and the incidence of in-hospital stroke was 4.6%. AF duration longer than 48 h was not independently associated with hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio: 1.52; 95% Confidence Interval: 0.87-2.64). The incidence of in-hospital stroke was 7.6% in patients with AF duration longer than 48 h and 3.8% in those with AF duration shorter than 48 h (p = 0.154). When analyzing time more continuously, we observed a time-dependent association between AF duration and hospital mortality (p = 0.005 by landmark analysis and p = 0.019 by Cox analysis). Conclusions Sustained new-onset AF was time-dependently associated with hospital mortality in ICU patients, albeit with some uncertainty since AF duration longer than 48 h was not independently associated with in-hospital death or stroke.
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页码:27 / 35
页数:9
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