Forecasting PM10 levels using ANN and MLR: A case study for Sakarya City

被引:33
作者
Ceylan, Z. [1 ,2 ]
Bulkan, S. [1 ]
机构
[1] Marmara Univ, Ind Engn Dept, Fac Engn, TR-34722 Istanbul, Turkey
[2] Ondokuz Mayis Univ, Ind Engn Dept, Fac Engn, TR-55139 Samsun, Turkey
来源
GLOBAL NEST JOURNAL | 2018年 / 20卷 / 02期
关键词
Particulate matter; PM10; prediction; artificial neural network; multi-linear regression; ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORKS; AIR-POLLUTION; MODEL; PREDICTION; PM2.5; EXPOSURE;
D O I
10.30955/gnj.002522
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
In this study, potential of neural network to estimate daily mean PM10 concentration levels in Sakarya city, Turkey as a case study was examined to achieve improved prediction ability. The level and distribution of air pollutants in a particular region is associated with changes in meteorological conditions affecting air movements and topographic features. Thus, meteorological variables data for a two-year period for Sakarya city which is located in most industrialized and crowded part of Turkey were selected as input. Neural network models and multiple linear regression models have been statistically evaluated. The results of the study showed that ANN models were accurate enough for prediction of PM10 levels.
引用
收藏
页码:281 / 290
页数:10
相关论文
共 32 条
[1]   Long-term monitoring of trace metals in PM10 and total gaseous mercury in the atmosphere of Porto, Portugal [J].
Albuquerque, M. ;
Coutinho, M. ;
Rodrigues, J. ;
Ginja, J. ;
Borrego, C. .
ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION RESEARCH, 2017, 8 (03) :535-544
[2]   Prediction of grinding behavior of low-grade coal based on its moisture loss by neural networks [J].
Altiner, Mahmut ;
Kuvvetli, Yusuf .
ENERGY SOURCES PART A-RECOVERY UTILIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS, 2017, 39 (12) :1250-1257
[3]   Sequential aggregation of heterogeneous experts for PM10 forecasting [J].
Auder, Benjamin ;
Bobbia, Michel ;
Poggi, Jean-Michel ;
Portier, Bruno .
ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION RESEARCH, 2016, 7 (06) :1101-1109
[4]   Air pollutants concentrations forecasting using back propagation neural network based on wavelet decomposition with meteorological conditions [J].
Bai, Yun ;
Li, Yong ;
Wang, Xiaoxue ;
Xie, Jingjing ;
Li, Chuan .
ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION RESEARCH, 2016, 7 (03) :557-566
[5]   Analysis and interpretation of particulate matter-PM10, PM2.5 and PM1 emissions from the heterogeneous traffic near an urban roadway [J].
Bathmanabhan, Srimuruganandam ;
Madanayak, Shiva Nagendra Saragur .
ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION RESEARCH, 2010, 1 (03) :184-194
[6]   Recursive neural network model for analysis and forecast of PM10 and PM2.5 [J].
Biancofiore, Fabio ;
Busilacchio, Marcella ;
Verdecchia, Marco ;
Tomassetti, Barbara ;
Aruffo, Eleonora ;
Bianco, Sebastiano ;
Di Tommaso, Sinibaldo ;
Colangeli, Carlo ;
Rosatelli, Gianluigi ;
Di Carlo, Piero .
ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION RESEARCH, 2017, 8 (04) :652-659
[7]   A novel approach for exposure assessment in air pollution epidemiological studies using neuro-fuzzy inference systems: Comparison of exposure estimates and exposure-health associations [J].
Blanes-Vidal, Victoria ;
Cantuaria, Manuella Lech ;
Nadimi, Esmaeil S. .
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH, 2017, 154 :196-203
[8]   Study on the association between air pollution and mortality in Istanbul, 2007-2012 [J].
Capraz, Ozkan ;
Efe, Bahtiyar ;
Deniz, Ali .
ATMOSPHERIC POLLUTION RESEARCH, 2016, 7 (01) :147-154
[9]   A Simple Feedforward Neural Network for the PM10 Forecasting: Comparison with a Radial Basis Function Network and a Multivariate Linear Regression Model [J].
Caselli, M. ;
Trizio, L. ;
de Gennaro, G. ;
Ielpo, P. .
WATER AIR AND SOIL POLLUTION, 2009, 201 (1-4) :365-377
[10]   Application of artificial neural networks to the forecasting of dissolved oxygen content in the Hungarian section of the river Danube [J].
Csabragi, Anita ;
Molnar, Sandor ;
Tanos, Peter ;
Kovacs, Jozsef .
ECOLOGICAL ENGINEERING, 2017, 100 :63-72