Impact of COVID-19 outbreaks and interventions on influenza in China and the United States

被引：200

作者：

Feng, Luzhao ^{[1
,2
]}

Zhang, Ting ^{[2
]}

Wang, Qing ^{[1
]}

Xie, Yiran ^{[3
]}

Peng, Zhibin ^{[1
]}

Zheng, Jiandong ^{[1
]}

Qin, Ying ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Muli ^{[1
]}

Lai, Shengjie ^{[4
]}

Wang, Dayan ^{[3
]}

Feng, Zijian ^{[5
]}

Li, Zhongjie ^{[1
]}

Gao, George F. ^{[3
,5
]}

机构：

[1] Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Div Infect Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China

[2] Chinese Acad Med Sci, Peking Union Med Coll, Sch Populat Med & Publ Hlth, Beijing, Peoples R China

[3] Chinese Natl Influenza Ctr, Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Inst Viral Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China

[4] Univ Southampton, Sch Geog & Environm Sci, WorldPop, Southampton, Hants, England

[5] Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Off Director, Beijing, Peoples R China

来源：

NATURE COMMUNICATIONS | 2021年 / 12卷 / 01期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金; 北京市自然科学基金; 比尔及梅琳达.盖茨基金会;

关键词：

D O I：

10.1038/s41467-021-23440-1

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was detected in China during the 2019-2020 seasonal influenza epidemic. Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and behavioral changes to mitigate COVID-19 could have affected transmission dynamics of influenza and other respiratory diseases. By comparing 2019-2020 seasonal influenza activity through March 29, 2020 with the 2011-2019 seasons, we found that COVID-19 outbreaks and related NPIs may have reduced influenza in Southern and Northern China and the United States by 79.2% (lower and upper bounds: 48.8%-87.2%), 79.4% (44.9%-87.4%) and 67.2% (11.5%-80.5%). Decreases in influenza virus infection were also associated with the timing of NPIs. Without COVID-19 NPIs, influenza activity in China and the United States would likely have remained high during the 2019-2020 season. Our findings provide evidence that NPIs can partially mitigate seasonal and, potentially, pandemic influenza. Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) implemented to interrupt COVID-19 transmission may also impact the spread of other infectious diseases. Here, the authors estimate that influenza activity in China and the United States reduced by up to 80% when NPIs were in place in the 2019-2020 season.

引用

页数：8

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