A novel CT-based radiomic nomogram for predicting the recurrence and metastasis of gastric stromal tumors

Our study aimed to explore the value of applying the CT-based radiomic nomogram for predicting recurrence and/or metastasis (RM) of gastric stromal tumors (GSTs). During the past ten years, a total of 236 patients with GST were analyzed retrospectively. According to the postoperative follow-up classification, the patients were divided into two groups, namely non-recurrence/metastasis group (non-RM) and RM group. All the cases were randomly divided into primary cohort and validation cohort according to the ratio of 7:3. Standardized CT images were segmented by radiologists using ITK-SNAP software manually. Texture features were extracted from all segmented lesions, then radiomic features were selected and the radiomic nomogram was built using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. The clinical features with the greatest correlation with RM of GST were selected by univariate analysis, and used as parameters to build the clinical feature model. Eventually, model of radiomic and clinical features were fitted to construct the clinical + radiomic feature model. The performance of each model was evaluated by the area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). A total of 1223 features were extracted from all the segmentation regions of each case, and features were selected via the least absolute shrinkage and LASSO binary logistic regression model. After deletion of redundant features, four key features were obtained, which were used as the parameters to build a radiomic signature. The AUCs of radiomic nomogram in primary cohort and validation cohort were 0.816 and 0.946, respectively. The AUCs of clinical + radiomic feature model in primary cohort and validation cohort were 0.833 and 0.937, respectively. Using DeLong test, the differences of AUC values between radiomic nomogram and clinical + radiomic feature model in primary cohort (P = 0.840) and validation cohort (P = 0.857) were not statistically significant. To sum up, CT-based radiomic nomogram is of great potential in predicting the RM of GST non-invasively before operation.