Forecast of oil price and consumption in the short term under three scenarios: Parabolic, linear and chaotic behaviour

被引：57

作者：

Gori, F. ^{[1
]}

Ludovisi, D. ^{[1
]}

Cerritelli, P. F. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Roma Tor Vergata, Dept Mech Engn, I-00133 Rome, Italy

来源：

ENERGY | 2007年 / 32卷 / 07期

关键词：

oil price; forecast; chaotic behaviour;

D O I：

10.1016/j.energy.2006.07.005

中图分类号：

O414.1 [热力学];

学科分类号：

摘要：

The paper examines the evolution of price and consumption of oil in the last decades to construct a relationship between them. Then the work considers three possible scenarios of oil price: parabolic, linear and chaotic behaviour, to predict the evolution of price and consumption of oil up to December 2003. (C) 2006 Published by Elsevier Ltd.

引用

页码：1291 / 1296

页数：6