Using a Combined Method to Forecasting Electricity Demand

被引:0
|
作者
Gui, Xiangquan [1 ]
Li, Li [1 ]
Xie, Pengshou [1 ]
Cao, Jie [1 ]
机构
[1] Lanzhou Univ Technol, Coll Comp & Commun, Lanzhou, Peoples R China
关键词
Electricity demand forecasting; Wavelet transform; Seasonal Adjustment; Elman Neural Network; NEURAL-NETWORKS; OPTIMIZATION;
D O I
10.4028/www.scientific.net/AMM.678.120
中图分类号
TH [机械、仪表工业];
学科分类号
0802 ;
摘要
In electric market, accurate electricity demand forecasting is often needed. Because electricity demand forecasting has become needful for creators and purchasers in the electric markets at present. But in electricity demand forecasting, noise signals, caused by various unstable factors, often corrupt demand series. In order to seek accurate demand forecasting methods, this article proposed a new combined electric load forecasting method (WSENN) which based on Wavelet Transform (WT), Seasonal Adjustment (SA) and Elman Neural Network (ENN) to forecast electricity demand. The effectiveness of WSENN is tested by applying the data from New South Wales (NSW) of Australia. Experimental results demonstrate that the WSENN model can offer more precise results than other methods that had mentioned in other literatures.
引用
收藏
页码:120 / 125
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Forecasting Electricity Demand in Australian National Electricity Market
    Fan, Shu
    Hyndman, Rob J.
    2012 IEEE POWER AND ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING, 2012,
  • [22] Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Method for Smart Meters
    Weranga, K. S. K.
    Chandima, D. P.
    Munasinghe, S. R.
    Kumarawadu, S. P.
    Abeykoon, A. M. Harsha S.
    2012 IEEE 6TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION AND AUTOMATION FOR SUSTAINABILITY (ICIAFS2012), 2012, : 266 - 272
  • [23] Forecasting electricity prices using nonlinear method
    Kriz, Radko
    Seinerova, Katerina
    MANAGING AND MODELLING OF FINANCIAL RISKS, 8TH INTERNATIONAL SCIENTIFIC CONFERENCE, PTS I & II, 2016, : 467 - 473
  • [24] Approaches to forecasting electricity demand in Russia
    Malakhov V.A.
    Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2009, 20 (2) : 153 - 157
  • [25] Monthly Electricity Demand Forecasting by GANN
    Wang, Hsiao-Fan
    Lai, Chia-Liang
    2016 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT (IEEM), 2016, : 1908 - 1912
  • [26] Electricity Demand Forecasting: The Uruguayan Case
    Castrillejo, Andres
    Cugliari, Jairo
    Massa, Fernando
    Ramirez, Ignacio
    RENEWABLE ENERGY: FORECASTING AND RISK MANAGEMENT, 2018, 254 : 119 - 136
  • [27] A novel approach for electricity demand forecasting
    Li, Caihong
    Mub, Senhui
    Wang, Jianzhou
    Yang, Yi
    Li, Lian
    IEICE NONLINEAR THEORY AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2014, 5 (02): : 184 - 197
  • [28] Prediction of a service demand using combined forecasting approach
    Zhou, Ling
    2ND ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION SYSTEM AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (ISAI2017), 2017, 887
  • [29] Household electricity demand forecasting using adaptive conditional density estimation
    Amara, Fatima
    Agbossou, Kodjo
    Dube, Yves
    Kelouwani, Sousso
    Cardenas, Alben
    Bouchard, Jonathan
    ENERGY AND BUILDINGS, 2017, 156 : 271 - 280
  • [30] Forecasting India's Electricity Demand Using a Range of Probabilistic Methods
    An, Yeqi
    Zhou, Yulin
    Li, Rongrong
    ENERGIES, 2019, 12 (13)