Robust data-driven model to study dispersion of vapor cloud in offshore facility

被引:49
作者
Shi, Jihao [1 ,2 ]
Khan, Fasial [3 ]
Zhu, Yuan [1 ]
Li, Jingde [2 ]
Chen, Guoming [1 ]
机构
[1] China Univ Petr, Ctr Offshore Engn & Safety Technol, Qingdao 266580, Peoples R China
[2] Curtin Univ, Sch Civil & Mech Engn, Ctr Infrastruct Monitoring & Protect, Bentley, WA 6102, Australia
[3] Mem Univ Newfoundland, Fac Engn & Appl Sci, C RISE, St John, NF A1B 3X5, Canada
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会; 国家重点研发计划;
关键词
Bayesian regularization; Artificial neuron network; Response Surface Method; Frozen Cloud Approach; Overfitting problem; Better generalization; NEURAL-NETWORK; CONSEQUENCE; RISK;
D O I
10.1016/j.oceaneng.2018.04.098
中图分类号
U6 [水路运输]; P75 [海洋工程];
学科分类号
0814 ; 081505 ; 0824 ; 082401 ;
摘要
Data driven models are increasingly used in engineering design and analysis. Bayesian Regularization Artificial Neural Network (BRANN) and Levenberg-Marquardt Artificial Neural Network (LMANN) are two widely used data-driven models. However, their application to study the dispersion in complex geometry is not explored. This study aims to investigate the suitability of BRANN and LMANN in estimating dimension of flammable cloud in congested offshore platform. A large number of numerical simulations are conducted using FLACS. Part of these simulations results are used to training the network. The trained network is subsequently used to predict the vapor cloud dimension and compared against remaining simulation results. The predictive abilities of these network along with Response Surface Method and Frozen Cloud Approach (FCA) are studied. The comparative results indicate BRANN model with 20 hidden neurons is the most robust and precise. The developed BRANN would serve an effective and tool for quick Explosion Risk Analysis ERA.
引用
收藏
页码:98 / 110
页数:13
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