Operative Scheme for the Short-range Complex Forecasting of Wind

被引：2

作者：

Bagrov, A. N. ^{[1
]}

Bykov, Ph. L. ^{[1
]}

Gordin, V. A. ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] Hydrometeorol Res Ctr Russian Federat, Bolshoi Predtechenskii Per 11-13, Moscow 123242, Russia

[2] Natl Res Univ, Higher Sch Econ, Myasnitskaya Ul 20, Moscow 101000, Russia

来源：

RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY | 2018年 / 43卷 / 07期

关键词：

Hydrodynamic forecasting; wind short-range forecasting; average wind; gusts; squall; complex forecasting; justification of the forecast; learning period;

D O I：

10.3103/S1068373918070026

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

We describe our scheme of the operative wind (and possible gusts) forecasts with the lead time up to 3 days and evaluate its success. It uses joint statistical processing of the results of several best operative forecasting hydrodynamic weather forecasting schemes. This approach allowed us to reduce the error with respect to original schemes. The operative forecast and its evaluation for the period of 2014-2016 is implemented for similar to 2800 cities of Russia, Belarus, and Central Asia. The update results are represented at the official site of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia every day at 8:30 (a.m. and p.m.), Moscow time.

引用

页码：436 / 443

页数：8