Fuzzy logic for piping risk assessment (pfLOPA)

被引:127
作者
Markowski, Adam S. [1 ]
Mannan, M. Sam [2 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Lodz, Proc Safety & Ecol Div, Fac Proc & Environm Engn, PL-90924 Lodz, Poland
[2] Texas A&M Univ Syst, Mary Kay OConnor Proc Safety Ctr, Artie McFerrin Dept Chem Engn, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
关键词
Pipelines; Risk assessment; Layer of protection; Fuzzy logic; FAULT-TREE ANALYSIS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jlp.2009.06.011
中图分类号
TQ [化学工业];
学科分类号
0817 ;
摘要
This paper explores the application of the fuzzy logic for risk assessment of major hazards connected with transportation of flammable substances in long pipelines. As a basis for risk assessment, the framework of the fuzzy Layer of Protection Analysis (fLOPA) was used. fLOPA presents a new approach to risk assessment based on two assumptions: 1. different effects of the layer of protection functions on particular elements of the risks (frequency and severity of consequence), and 2. the application of fuzzy logic system (FLS) composed of three elements: fuzzification, inference process and defuzzification. A further calculation follows LOPA methodology with the use of fuzzy logic system where fuzzy risk matrix is used for risk assessment. A typical case study comprising section of a long pipeline failure is performed and a comparison between the classical LOPA approach and fuzzy approach is made. (C) 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:921 / 927
页数:7
相关论文
共 22 条
[11]  
MARKOWSKI AS, 2003, LAYER PROTECTION ANA
[12]   USE OF FUZZY SET-THEORY FOR LEVEL-I STUDIES IN PROBABILISTIC RISK ASSESSMENT [J].
MISRA, KB ;
WEBER, GG .
FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS, 1990, 37 (02) :139-160
[13]   Models and model uncertainty in the context of risk analysis [J].
Nilsen, T ;
Aven, T .
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY, 2003, 79 (03) :309-317
[14]  
QUIECH J, 1994, J LOSS PREVENT PROC, V7, P463
[15]   A fuzzy set analysis to estimate loss intensity following blast wave interaction with process equipment [J].
Salzano, E ;
Cozzani, V .
JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES, 2006, 19 (04) :343-352
[16]   A FUZZY SET APPROACH TO FAULT TREE AND RELIABILITY-ANALYSIS [J].
SINGER, D .
FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS, 1990, 34 (02) :145-155
[17]  
*US DEP TRANSP, 1986, OFF PIP SAF NAT GAS
[18]   OUTLINE OF A NEW APPROACH TO ANALYSIS OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS AND DECISION PROCESSES [J].
ZADEH, LA .
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS MAN AND CYBERNETICS, 1973, SMC3 (01) :28-44
[19]   FUZZY SETS [J].
ZADEH, LA .
INFORMATION AND CONTROL, 1965, 8 (03) :338-&
[20]  
1999, RISKS GASOLINE PIPEL