Empirical restoration of the measures of possibility and possibility likelihood in models of expert decisions

被引：5

作者：

Pyt'ev, Yu. P. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Moscow MV Lomonosov State Univ, Moscow, Russia

来源：

AUTOMATION AND REMOTE CONTROL | 2010年 / 71卷 / 03期

基金：

俄罗斯基础研究基金会;

关键词：

Remote Control; Possibility Theory; Elementary Proposition; Expert Decision; Collective Opinion;

D O I：

10.1134/S0005117910030100

中图分类号：

TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];

学科分类号：

0812 ;

摘要：

The motivation and ideas of developing the possibility as an alternative probability of the model of a randomness phenomenon are considered and elements of the possibility theory that are necessary for understanding are given. The empirical restoration methods of a possibility model of expert decisions and the methods for estimation of the confidence in the collective opinion of experts are examined. The empirical restoration of an indeterminate fuzzy model of collective expert decisions is examined, in which experts inform to what degree their own conclusions are probable.

引用

页码：486 / 500

页数：15