Applying GIS to develop a model for forest fire risk: A case study in Espirito Santo, Brazil

被引:113
作者
Eugenio, Fernando Coelho [1 ]
dos Santos, Alexandre Rosa [1 ]
Fiedler, Nilton Cesar [1 ]
Ribeiro, Guido Assuncao [2 ]
da Silva, Aderbal Gomes [1 ]
dos Santos, Aureo Banhos [1 ]
Paneto, Greiciane Gaburro [1 ]
Schettino, Vitor Roberto [1 ]
机构
[1] Fed Univ Espirito Santo UFES, PostGrad Programme Forest Sci, Ave Governador Lindemberg 316, BR-29550000 Jeronimo Monteiro, ES, Brazil
[2] Fed Univ Vicosa UFES, Grad Program Forest Sci, Ave PH Rolfs S-N,Campus Univ, BR-36570000 Vicosa, MG, Brazil
关键词
Risk map; Environmental preservation; Geotechnology; SPATIAL-PATTERNS;
D O I
10.1016/j.jenvman.2016.02.021
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
A forest fire risk map is a basic element for planning and protecting forested areas. The main goal of this study was to develop a statistical model for preparing a forest fire risk map using GIS. Such model is based on assigning weights to nine variables divided into two classes: physical factors of the site (terrain slope, land-use/occupation, proximity to roads, terrain orientation, and altitude) and climatic factors (precipitation, temperature, water deficit, and evapotranspiration). In regions where the climate is different from the conditions of this study, the model will require an adjustment of the variables weights according to the local climate. The study area, Espirito Santo State, exhibited approximately 3.81% low risk, 21.18% moderate risk, 30.10% high risk, 41.50% very high risk, and 3.40% extreme risk of forest fire. The areas classified as high risk, very high and extreme, contemplated a total of 78.92% of heat spots. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:65 / 71
页数:7
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