Stochastic Modeling of Power Markets Using Stationary Processes

被引:0
|
作者
Benth, Fred Espen [1 ]
Eyjolfsson, Heidar [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Oslo, Ctr Math Applicat CMA, N-0316 Oslo, Norway
来源
SEMINAR ON STOCHASTIC ANALYSIS, RANDOM FIELDS AND APPLICATIONS VII | 2013年 / 67卷
关键词
Energy markets; spot modeling; forward pricing; Levy semistationary processes; numerical simulation; Fourier transform;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We make a survey over recent developments in stochastic modelling of power markets, with a particular focus on the application of stationary processes. We analyse the class of Levy semistationary processes proposed by Barndorff-Nielsen, Benth and Veraart [1] for modelling electricity spot prices. We suggest and analyse different numerical methods for simulating the paths of these processes, a particulary important question for risk management studies in power markets. Finally, we discuss the aspect of pricing forward contracts based on a class of stationary models, and review some implications.
引用
收藏
页码:261 / 284
页数:24
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