The western Mediterranean climate: how will it respond to global warming?

被引：17

作者：

Camuffo, Dario ^{[1
]}

Bertolin, C. ^{[1
]}

Diodato, N. ^{[2
]}

Barriendos, M. ^{[3
]}

Dominguez-Castro, F. ^{[4
]}

Cocheo, C. ^{[5
]}

della Valle, A. ^{[1
,9
]}

Garnier, E. ^{[6
,7
]}

Alcoforado, M. -J. ^{[8
]}

机构：

[1] Inst Atmospher Sci & Climate ISAC, Natl Res Council Italy CNR, Padua, Italy

[2] Met European Res Observ, GEWEX CEOP Network World Climate Res Programme, I-82100 Benevento, Italy

[3] Univ Barcelona, Dept Modern Hist, Barcelona, Spain

[4] Univ Complutense Madrid, Dept Earth Sci 2, Madrid, Spain

[5] Salvatore Maugeri Fdn IRCCS, Padua, Italy

[6] Univ Caen, Res Ctr Quantitat Hist, F-14032 Caen, France

[7] CNRS, UMR CEA, Lab Climate & Environm Sci, Saclay, France

[8] Univ Lisbon, Ctr Geog Studies, P-1699 Lisbon, Portugal

[9] Teolo Meteorol Ctr CMT, Reg Agcy Environm Prevent & Protect ARPAV, Teolo, Italy

来源：

CLIMATIC CHANGE | 2010年 / 100卷 / 01期

关键词：

Northern Hemisphere; Global Warming; Global Warming; Precipitation Series; Instrumental Observation;

D O I：

10.1007/s10584-010-9817-6

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The paper discusses the newly produced temperature and precipitation series from instrumental observations in the Western Mediterranean (WM) area, dating back to 1654. The two series had a continuous swing and unstable coupling passing from correlation to anti-correlation. Only after 1950 are they permanently anti-correlated with increasing temperature and decreasing precipitation. It is not clear how long this coupling will persist. The analysis of the correlation between the Northern Hemisphere (NH) and the WM temperature anomalies and their trends shows a certain variability from 1850 to 1950; later a strong coupling between NH and WM. Results suggest that the WM climate is approaching a turning point that might locally oppose the adverse effects of Global Warming.

引用

页码：137 / 142

页数：6

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