Nuclear data uncertainties;
Uncertainty analysis;
Sensitivity analysis;
Random sampling;
Linear regression;
HELIOS-2;
XSUSA;
NUCLEAR-DATA;
D O I:
10.1016/j.anucene.2021.108857
中图分类号:
TL [原子能技术];
O571 [原子核物理学];
学科分类号:
0827 ;
082701 ;
摘要:
With the HELIOS-2/XSUSA lattice/depletion code, output uncertainties can be estimated by random sampling of nuclear reactions. The paper presents extensions for performing sensitivity analyses. Main contributors to the total uncertainties are evaluated through squared multiple correlation coefficients. For a direct comparison with sensitivities and partial uncertainties obtained with deterministic linear perturbation theory, a recently introduced extension of XSUSA is used, performing linear regression analysis of the output quantities. A novel feature is to evaluate the uncertainty "breakdown" over burn-up time in depletion calculations. With these extensions, sensitivities and uncertainties are estimated for various exercises of the UAM-LWR benchmark series. The analyses are performed using covariance data mainly based on ENDF/B-VII.1, available in 56-group representation in SCALE 6.2. They were transformed to the 44-group structure used by the HELIOS-2/XSUSA interface. For fresh fuel, the results are in very acceptable agreement with the corresponding results of the SCALE code TSUNAMI. (c) 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.