A Modified Method of Forecasting Enrollments Based on Fuzzy Time Series

被引：0
|
作者：
Feng, Hao [1 ]
Wang, Hongxu [2 ]
Guo, Jianchun [2 ]
Zhang, Fujin [3 ]
机构：
[1] Qiongzhou Univ, Coll Sci & Engn, Sanya, Peoples R China
[2] Qiongzhou Univ, Coll tourism management, Sanya, Peoples R China
[3] Qiongzhou Univ, Coll Elect & Informat Engn, Sanya, Peoples R China
来源：
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2ND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SOFT COMPUTING IN INFORMATION COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY | 2014年
关键词：
fuzzy set; fuzzy time series; forecasting; percentage; Inverse fuzzy number;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号：
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要：
In this essay, we propose a method of forecasting enrollments based on fuzzy time series which is improved by Saxena, Sharma& Easo. Some sections are improved, Such as the setting of universe of discourse, construction of fuzzy set and Inverse fuzzy number, and forecasting formula. We still used the 22 years freshmen's enrollments data of the University of Alabama to illustrate the forecasting process. The result shows that proposed method provide the smallest AFER and MSE.
引用
收藏
页码：176 / 179
页数：4
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Forecasting enrollments based on fuzzy time series
    Chen, SM
    FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS, 1996, 81 (03) : 311 - 319
  • [2] Cardinality-based fuzzy time series for forecasting enrollments
    Chang, Jing-Rong
    Lee, Ya-Ting
    Liao, Shu-Ying
    Cheng, Ching-Hsue
    NEW TRENDS IN APPLIED ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, PROCEEDINGS, 2007, 4570 : 735 - +
  • [3] An improved method for forecasting enrollments based on fuzzy time series and particle swarm optimization
    Kuo, I-Hong
    Horng, Shi-Jinn
    Kao, Tzong-Wann
    Lin, Tsung-Lieh
    Lee, Cheng-Ling
    Pan, Yi
    EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2009, 36 (03) : 6108 - 6117
  • [4] Deterministic fuzzy time series model for forecasting enrollments
    Li, Sheng-Tun
    Cheng, Yi-Chung
    COMPUTERS & MATHEMATICS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2007, 53 (12) : 1904 - 1920
  • [5] FORECASTING ENROLLMENTS WITH FUZZY TIME-SERIES .1.
    SONG, Q
    CHISSOM, BS
    FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS, 1993, 54 (01) : 1 - 9
  • [6] FORECASTING ENROLLMENTS WITH FUZZY TIME-SERIES .2.
    SONG, Q
    CHISSOM, BS
    FUZZY SETS AND SYSTEMS, 1994, 62 (01) : 1 - 8
  • [7] Forecasting enrollments with high-order fuzzy time series
    Tsai, CC
    Wu, SJ
    PEACHFUZZ 2000 : 19TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF THE NORTH AMERICAN FUZZY INFORMATION PROCESSING SOCIETY - NAFIPS, 2000, : 196 - 200
  • [8] A generalized method for forecasting based on fuzzy time series
    Qiu, Wangren
    Liu, Xiaodong
    Li, Hailin
    EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2011, 38 (08) : 10446 - 10453
  • [9] Fuzzy time series forecasting method based on hesitant fuzzy sets
    Bisht, Kamlesh
    Kumar, Sanjay
    EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2016, 64 : 557 - 568
  • [10] A hybrid forecasting model for enrollments based on aggregated fuzzy time series and particle swarm optimization
    Huang, Yao-Lin
    Horng, Shi-Jinn
    He, Mingxing
    Fan, Pingzhi
    Kao, Tzong-Wann
    Khan, Muhammad Khurram
    Lai, Jui-Lin
    Kuo, I-Hong
    EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2011, 38 (07) : 8014 - 8023
12345