Tree-ring based spring precipitation reconstruction in western Nepal Himalaya since AD 1840

被引:59
作者
Gaire, Narayan Prasad [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Bhuju, Dinesh Raj [2 ]
Koirala, Madan [2 ]
Shah, Santosh K. [4 ]
Carrere, Marco [5 ]
Timilsena, Rupraj [6 ]
机构
[1] Nepal Acad Sci & Technol, Fac Sci, Treering Lab, Lalitpur, Nepal
[2] Tribhuvan Univ, Cent Dept Environm Sci, Kathmandu, Nepal
[3] GoldenGate Int Coll, Kathmandu, Nepal
[4] Birbal Sahni Inst Palaeosci, 53 Univ Rd, Lucknow 226007, Uttar Pradesh, India
[5] Univ Padua, Dept Land Environm Agr & Forestry, Padua, Italy
[6] Coll Appl Sci, Kathmandu, Nepal
关键词
Western Nepal himalaya; Tree-rings; Abies spectabilis; Spring precipitationa; CLIMATE-CHANGE; TEMPERATURE TRENDS; ABIES-SPECTABILIS; SOUTHERN SLOPE; INDIA; VARIABILITY; PLATEAU; FLUCTUATIONS; CENTURIES; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1016/j.dendro.2016.12.004
中图分类号
S7 [林业];
学科分类号
0829 ; 0907 ;
摘要
Spring (March-June) precipitation has been reconstructed since AD 1840 for the Rara National Park (RNP), western Nepal Himalaya using Abies spectabilis tree-ring width. The reconstruction accounts for 35.8% of the total variance of the instrumental precipitation from 1958 to 2012 and captured distinct wet and dry variability. The longest wet periods occurred during 1850-1862, 1878-1886, 1909-1917, 1971-1984 and 2000-2008 while dry periods were usually shorter and occurred during 1873-1877, 1921-1923, 1925-1929, 1951-1956, 1958-1962 and 1994-1996. Spectral analysis of the reconstruction shows significant peaks at periodicity ranging 2.4-6.5year, suggesting a covariation in inter-annual variability similar to that of El Nifio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Spectral analysis of the reconstruction shows significant quasi-cyclic (2.4-3.4 year) and multidecadal (24.8-39.2 year) periodicity, suggesting a potential association with El Nifio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). (C) 2017 Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:21 / 30
页数:10
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