Macroeconomic uncertainty and the cross-section of option returns

被引:5
作者
Aramonte, Sirio [1 ]
机构
[1] Fed Reserve Syst, Off Financial Stabil Policy & Res, Board Governors, Washington, DC 20551 USA
关键词
Option pricing; Macroeconomic uncertainty; Scheduled announcements; TIME PRICE DISCOVERY; STOCK-PRICES; RISK PREMIA; VOLATILITY; NEWS; INFORMATION; BOND; MARKETS; US; ANNOUNCEMENTS;
D O I
10.1016/j.finmar.2014.06.001
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
I empirically investigate whether macroeconomic uncertainty is a priced risk factor in the cross-section of equity and index option returns. The analysis employs a non-linear factor model, estimated with the Fama-MacBeth methodology, where the macroeconomic uncertainty factor is the return on a long/short portfolio of equity options, built on the basis of how implied volatilities change around macroeconomic announcements. I find that macroeconomic uncertainty is priced in the cross-section of option returns, even after controlling for a number of relevant factors. The results are robust to alternative ways of measuring option returns, and to the non-random pattern of missing returns. Published by Elsevier B.V.
引用
收藏
页码:25 / 49
页数:25
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