An advanced method for flood risk analysis in river deltas, applied to societal flood fatality risk in the Netherlands

被引：43
作者：
de Bruijn, K. M. [1 ]
Diermanse, F. L. M. [2 ]
Beckers, J. V. L. [2 ]
机构：
[1] Deltares, Scenarios & Policy Anal, Delft, Netherlands
[2] Deltares, Inland Water Syst, Delft, Netherlands
来源：
NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES | 2014年 / 14卷 / 10期
关键词：
SYSTEM; LIFE;
D O I：
10.5194/nhess-14-2767-2014
中图分类号：
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号：
07 ;
摘要：
This paper discusses a new method for flood risk assessment in river deltas. Flood risk analysis of river deltas is complex, because both storm surges and river discharges may cause flooding and the effect of upstream breaches on downstream water levels and flood risk must be taken into account. This paper presents a Monte Carlo-based flood risk analysis framework for policy making, which considers both storm surges and river flood waves and includes effects from hydrodynamic interaction on flood risk. It was applied to analyse societal flood fatality risk in the Rhine-Meuse delta.
引用
收藏
页码：2767 / 2781
页数：15
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