Testing for Granger causality with mixed frequency data

被引:83
作者
Ghysels, Eric [1 ,2 ]
Hill, Jonathan B. [3 ]
Motegi, Kaiji [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ N Carolina, Dept Econ, Kenan Flagler Business Sch, Chapel Hill, NC 27599 USA
[2] Univ N Carolina, Dept Finance, Kenan Flagler Business Sch, Chapel Hill, NC USA
[3] Univ N Carolina, Dept Econ, Chapel Hill, NC USA
[4] Waseda Univ, Fac Polit Sci & Econ, Tokyo, Japan
关键词
Granger causality test; Local asymptotic power; Mixed data sampling (MIDAS); Temporal aggregation; Vector autoregression (VAR); MULTIVARIATE TIME-SERIES; LONG-RUN CAUSALITY; TEMPORAL AGGREGATION; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION; HETEROSKEDASTICITY; MODELS; REGRESSIONS; PREDICTION; CAUSATION; GDP;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2015.07.007
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We develop Granger causality tests that apply directly to data sampled at different frequencies. We show that taking advantage of mixed frequency data allows us to better recover causal relationships when compared to the conventional common low frequency approach. We also show that the new causality tests have higher local asymptotic power as well as more power in finite samples compared to conventional tests. In an empirical application involving U.S. macroeconomic indicators, we show that the mixed frequency approach and the low frequency approach produce very different causal implications, with the former yielding more intuitively appealing result. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:207 / 230
页数:24
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